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Saturday horse racing tips: four best bets from Dave Nevison

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Sat 1 Oct 2022

Our pundit and resident website tipster is enjoying a good week and shares four best bets for Saturday. Enjoy the Group 1 Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes from Newmarket and good cards from Redcar, Gowran and Killarney live on Racing TV.

1.31 Newmarket: I’ll Be There

George Boughey has been in tremendous form pretty much all season and the fact that he has pitched this filly in such a competitive event is encouraging, especially with William Buick keeping the ride.

I’ll Be There has improved to win each of her last two starts in good style, the latest coming after a summer break when successful over a mile at Sandown. She is related to stayers and I don’t believe she will have any difficulty with these extra two furlongs now.

It was heavy going at Sandown, so with the Friday forecast of rain countrywide she should be able to handle any deterioration in conditions.

2.06 Newmarket: Amichi

This big-field auction race for two-year-olds is one of very few juvenile events I look at these days as there is usually a very wide range of ability on show and the front end of the market often represents a solid bet.

Amichi has already won a similar event at the July Course here and is clearly a class above most of his rivals here. He had a subsequent Group Three winner behind him on his latest start and the form of the placed horses looks stronger than many of these will ever aspire to.

His draw down the middle looks handy and Ray Dawson should be able to track the best pace before hopefully staying on up the hill.

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4.27 Newmarket: Mellow Yellow

It won’t be long before The King has his first winner and this filly looks a very likely candidate in the royal silks.

William Haggas still has Mellow Yellow in the Group One Fillies & Mares Stakes on Champions Day next month so she must surely be absolutely thrown in off a mark of 88 here. It certainly looks like a very generous rating in view of her latest win when beating Misty Dancer (who has bolted up twice since) by a comfortable two lengths.

Mellow Yellow looked very useful when winning over the Rowley Mile on her second start last season, so the course isn’t a problem and this step up in trip looks sure to suit. She will certainly not be a massive price but looks another for champion-elect William Buick.

5.03 Newmarket: Canoodled

She was slightly disappointing last time out when finishing last of five in a handicap at Goodwood for which she was sent off favourite. However, that very muddling affair would not have suited and this more competitive event looks certain to be truly run.

Canoodled is 12lbs better off with top-weight and likely favourite Tarrabb for getting beaten two lengths at Ascot back in July so clearly is well-weighted on that run, even before Saffie Osborne’s 3lb claim is taken into account.

While this is a little bit of a stretch on her latest two runs, her latest victory came over this course and distance and her in-form trainer Ed Walker will be hoping Canoodling can round off a very good day for the yard. Given the likelihood of a good pace too there are enough positives to risk a bet for me.

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