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Saturday horse racing tips: Four best bets from Dave Nevison

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Sat 17 Jul 2021

Our pundit and website tipster Dave Nevison looks ahead to a super Saturday of action on Racing TV with four fancies from Market Rasen, Cartmel and Newbury.

Enjoy the Juddmonte Irish Oaks on a Classic card from the Curragh and the cards from Newmarket and Haydock too with dedicated coverage available via Racing TV Extra.

2.05 Market Rasen: Camprond at 5-1 with bet365, Coral and Ladbrokes

He’s been kept going over the summer – almost certainly with this good prize in mind - and can come out best in a very hot field.

Camprond was 1/14 when winning easily over course and distance last month, but before that ran really well in some very hot spring handicaps at Aintree and in the Swinton Hurdle at Haydock, form linked closely with the likes of Copperless and Cormier who have both impressed since.

The handicapper does not appear to have been too harsh at all and he looks to have a very winnable mark of 134, even if this race is the hottest jumping handicap of the summer and full with progressive types. This is worth watching closely.

2.30 Cartmel: Alqamar at 7-4 with William Hill

Nobody rides Cartmel better than Charlotte Jones, in my opinion, and she may be on a ‘good thing’ here. Jones rides with a 5lb claim and that might be justified anywhere else, but around this track she should probably have a 5lb penalty in my view.

WATCH: The On The Wire podcast team reveal their best bets for the racing action at the Curragh this weekend

Alqamar was a useful Flat handicapper for Charlie Appleby and wouldn’t be the first ex-Godolphin horse that trainer Jimmy Moffatt has picked up cheaply. A two-year gap to presumably get over injury has seen patience rewarded with two wins over hurdles, most recently over course and distance. He made all the running and outclassed his rivals both those occasions.

Alqamar moves to jumps handicaps now and has some familiar names to beat, but has so much potential upside compared to these mostly exposed types that it will be disappointing if he can’t complete the hat-trick.

2.40 Market Rasen: Captain Tom Cat at a general 9-2

Captain Tom Cat would have probably taken higher rank over hurdles if kept away from heavy ground, but he looks set to make a real mark over fences and can win this competitive event en-route to Galway.

He has won four-runner events in exhilarating style on his last two runs, and that could be a slight concern given this is a completely different level of competition. However, he did win a 19-runner handicap hurdle at Cheltenham over hurdles and his front-running style that exhibits his excellent jumping – a feature so far – should keep him clear of any interference so I’m not worried.

Dr Richard Newland and Sam Twiston-Davies have teamed up to win the Summer Plate before and, despite the nature of the race, is usually won by a horse at the front of the market. This exciting young chaser looks ideal.

4.10 Newbury: Serenading at 12-1 with William Hill

Serenading has been late to get going this season and was given an eye-catchingly gentle introduction at Doncaster recently when fourth in a decent handicap. She was pushed out hands and heels but stayed on very well and now looks as though she could be suited by going back up to a mile.

Serenading did her best work close home in her two all-weather wins last autumn - both at Newcastle - and ran well on the straight Doncaster track, so it looks likely that she will be well suited by Newbury’s galloping straight course. If she comes on for her recent run she has a very good chance here.

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