By The Tote Team www.tote.co.uk
We are expecting big things to happen at Newbury on Friday with a lot of the favourites looking vulnerable to some outsiders, there could be a big dividend on our hands.
We managed to help you out with a winning line at Yarmouth on Wednesday which paid £107.90 to a £1 stake, so have a read below to see if we can give some pointers at winning a share of the pool at Newbury.
As with most places around the UK, with very little rain the going at Newbury is on the firm side of good. The sprinklers have been on all week to ensure there is a small bit of cut in the ground, but with more sun due on Friday, the going is not expected to be affected.
Having had a week off and missing out on the St Leger weekend, Oisin Murphy will be looking to make up for lost time and Newbury is a track where he can make some inroads. He has had eight winners from 33 rides and with a further seven rides today, he is sure to have a few chances.
Scoop (1:20, Leg 1), Tacitus (1:55, Leg 2), Dubai Future (2:30, Leg 3), Jimmy Sparks (3:05, Leg 4), Knight Salute (3:40, Leg 5), Final Song (4:15, Leg 6).
The fourth leg of the Placepot seems to be one where Richard Hannon’s GENUFLUX (3:05pm, Leg 4) can take advantage of a field that is not in the best of form. The two-year-old colt has a win and two places from four appearances and off a weight of just 79, he is the one to watch in this. He has been given form boost as New Mandate, who he lost to last time out in August has gone on to win a Listed event and is now rated 108. The winning distance that day was just two lengths.
The Dubai Duty Free Handicap looks to be a very competitive race full of talent. It also look to be a race where some of the leading contenders may fail to make the frame. Humanitarian finished off last season with disappointing runs in the Derby and King Edward VII. He has been put away for 455 days and he may not be fit enough for this yet. Scarlet Dragon has failed to show anything like the form of Royal Ascot meaning the is a chance of a bit of an outsider to come in. FOX VARDY’s (2:30pm, Leg 3) run last time out can be discounted as he hung left and tired very quickly.
However, prior to that he put in some very good performances as Newmarket, York and Ascot and is dangerous off a mark of 92.
Another to be considered here is KING’S CAPER. Despite not getting any luck yet this season, he has put in some very strong performances in defeat where the pace has always been too slow for him. He will now try and set the pace for the race that will suit him and he could surprise a few.
The penultimate and final legs of the Placepot look to be races for possible torpedoes. Baradar is the likely favourite on the second last and after one appearance he has been handed a speed figure rating of 66 which does not exactly look attractive. Magellan looks talented but having been beaten last time out at Kempton as favourite, he won’t be the most attractive sort.
JUMBY (3:40pm, Leg 5), after two appearances has the highest speed figure in the race and is the highest rated horse in the race yet will not go off at anything like the prices of the other two.
In the final leg, D’bai, Kinross, Jovial and Symbolize all have creditable form to have a lot of support, but GLORIOUS JOURNEY (4:15pm, Leg 6) and Oisin Murphy’s ride on FINAL SONG will be receiving our support. James Doyle takes the ride on the former and having put in a far better performance last time out against Dream Of Dreams, he looks to be ready to strike.
He has had some luck abroad winning some valuable prize money and if he reproduces anything like that form, he has a huge chance. Final Song’s form was given a boost yesterday with Posted winning at Sandown and with a sex allowance, she could overturn the result whenn D’bai left her stranded back in last.
Leg 1: 1,2 Leg 2: 2,6 Leg 3: 7,8 Leg 4: 4,6 Leg 5: 2,5 Leg 6: 2,9
2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 = 64 lines
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