By The Tote Team www.tote.co.uk
Day three of York’s Ebor meeting and yet another opportunity to land a big Tote Placepot.
The dividend paid a huge £3,696.30 to a £1 stake on Wednesday, so fingers crossed we can get some favourites beat and ensure another bumper return on the Knavesmire.
How's the Going?
The ground remains good at York, and as much of the country cowers from the threat of wind and rain, it’s unlikely to reach the racecourse before the off on Friday. In any case, we should have some fair racing ground to crown some winners.
The Big Trend
Andrew Balding’s string have been running well recently, with 45% of his runners in the last week finishing in the frame. He has three horses lining up in our Placepot legs today, and all merit considerations.
DASHING WILLOUGHBY (Leg 2 - 2:15pm) has shown himself to be a fine stamp of a stayer this season, landing the Group 2 Henry II Stakes on his latest outing and could make his mark in the Lonsdale Cup. MYSTERY SMILES (Leg 3 - 2:45pm) has won both his starts to date and is worthy of a place in the Gimcrack, while there was obviously something about RUSHMORE (Leg 5 - 3:45pm) that made him sell for 500,000 Guineas as a yearling. While he needs to improve on his debut, he’s not dismissed.
Like Ghaiyyath on day one, and Love on day two, the Placepot Banker selection isn’t original but we hope it will be as straightforward as the aforementioned duo. BATTAASH has seemed better than ever this season, landing the King’s Stand Stakes before going on to Glorious Goodwood success.
He has two improving three-year-olds to tackle in the Nunthorpe Stakes, but even giving them weight, it’s hard to see them toppling the ‘Bat Mobile’ over the five furlongs of the Knavesmire. Even if one of the younger two cause a shock, it’s very hard to see Charlie Hills’ speedster out of the three.
Outsider to Consider
KOEMAN (Leg 1 - 1:45pm) ended last season on a winning note when landing a Newbury handicap in September. A trip to Dubai failed to yield much success, but he put in two good efforts in defeat at big prices back in the UK this year. He was potentially given a bit too much to do when finishing well when beaten less than three lengths at Ascot last time out. Down another pound in the handicap, though it might not be enough to win, he could be primed to hit the frame.
A daughter of Oaks winner Snow Fairy, by Guineas winner Gleneagles, a lot was thought of VIRGIN SNOW (Leg 6 - 4:15pm) when she made her debut. As a four-year-old she’s taken
her form up a notch, when finishing second in a Group 3 at Newcastle. She was very keen that day and saw her late effort peter out. It was a similar story next time in a Listed event, fading late in the day. A hood is reached for back in a handicap, and if working its magic and teaching her to settle, she might go close at a price.
Leg 5 (3:45pm) is a Maiden event that looks particularly tricky. Gauging how much of a step forward these two-year-olds will take forward from their first and second run can be problematic. NAVAL CROWN looks the likely favourite, having finished in the frame behind subsequent Group 3 third Youth Spirit before going on to finish in the same position in a Listed contest himself.
DINGLE was a couple of lengths behind Naval Crown when the pair met at Newmarket last month. He showed up well for a long way, only tying up late on. He’s speedily bred, so there’s a chance he doesn’t quite see out this seven furlong trip, but he’s worthy of giving another go with a run under his belt.
Our Placepot Perm
Leg 1: 4,11
Leg 2: 1,3
Leg 3: 3,6,10
Leg 4: 1
Leg 5: 2,6,9
Leg 6: 2,5
2 x 2 x 3 x 1 x 3 x 2 = 72 lines
Select any odd to add a bet