Aintree Placepot Pointers: Danny Kirwan will be hard to keep out of the frame

Sat 24 Oct 2020

From Cheltenham on Saturday, where the Placepot paid a massive £10,365 dividend, to Aintree on Sunday, we stick with the goliaths of National Hunt racing for our Placepot Pointers this weekend.

Not only do we have the Grade two Old Roan Chase to enjoy, but also a fascinating, and competitive support card to enjoy on Merseyside.

Read on for all the pointers you need towards your Tote Placepot.

How’s the going?

We’re looking at perfect Good to Soft jumping ground at Aintree on Sunday, conditions which shouldn’t provide much in the way of excuses for any of the day’s competitors. Some light showers are forecast in the lead up to racing, but it’s unlikely to change the ground too much.

The Big Trend

Now based solely in the UK, Robbie Power has enjoyed his visits to Aintree in the last few years. Not only did he win three of his five rides at the venue in 2019, but he’s also hit the frame on 14 of his 22 mounts in the last five years (64%) - perfect for Placepot players.

He takes four rides on the card today, and we’re siding with three of them for our perm. KILLER KANE (Leg 1 - 12:47) was picked up for £300k in March after a smooth point win and is clearly well thought of as he makes his rules debut. THEATRE GUIDE (Leg 2 - 1:22) tends to give his running in these veterans events and was third in this same race off 3lbs higher last year, while OFALLTHEGINJOINTS (Leg 4 - 2:32) looks like he’ll make a nice chaser after a satisfactory season over hurdles.

Placepot Banker

On a particularly tricky card, it’s hard to pick out a ‘banker’, but Paul Nicholls’ DANNY KIRWAN ought to be finishing in the first three in the opening contest of the day (12:47).

Much was made of the gelding when joining the Ditcheat team, and although he beat Pym in a bumper on rules debut, he has gone on to burn the fingers of favourite backers on four subsequent occasions. His performance when second in the Grade 2 Kennel Gate Novices Hurdle in December 2018 stands out here, and so long as he runs to 80% of that run, he should finish in the frame.

Outsider to Consider

The final two contests of the Placepot feature a couple of outsiders worth considering.

VANCOUVER (Leg 5 - 3:07) found himself well back before the race properly unfolded last time out at Warwick but plugged on to pass beaten horses late on. He had been staying on well at the end of his races prior to that too, so this first attempt at three miles looks worthwhile.

In the last leg of the Placepot (3:42) MOHAAYYED is another who is interesting up in trip. Kept mostly to around two miles last season, Dan Skelton’s charge did finish ninth on his last try over course and distance in April 2019 off a mark 12lbs higher than today’s. His best run last season came first time up, so now might be the time to catch him.

Torpedo Leg

Possibly one of the most open Old Roan Chases (Leg 3 - 1:57) for a long time could see the Tote Placepot take a bit hit. First fence faller at Cheltenham Itchy Feet is likely to be popular on his return, but we’re siding with two horses who got round in the Marsh Chase that day.

MIDNIGHT SHADOW was behind Itchy Feet at Sandown in December last year, beaten 3½ lengths off level weights. He gets 5lb off him today and can go close to reversing that form. While no world beater, Sue Smith’s charge is consistent and at this level, off today’s mark is worth considering.

Also worth a spot in your Placepot is Jonjo O’Neill’s ANNIE MC. While she has only beaten her own sex over fences, the likes of If You Say Run are no back numbers. A mark of 144 looks very fair, and getting weight from all but two of her rivals, she can sneak a place at likely double-figure odds.

Our Placepot Perm

Leg 1: 3, 4

Leg 2: 4, 8

Leg 3: 5, 11

Leg 4: 1, 4

Leg 5: 9, 11

Leg 6: 4, 7

2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 = 64 lines

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