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Placepot Pointers: Country Carnival looks worth second look at Ayr

Fri 18 Sep 2020

By The Tote Team www.tote.co.uk

It is QTS Ayr Gold Cup Day and there is always a chance for a big Tote Placepot dividend with the average over the last 10 years sitting at £1,510.90.

Simply find a horse to place in the first six legs at Ayr to take home your share.

We are back with our preferred perm that could just help you win a part of the pool. Have a read below to see if you agree with our selections.

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How’s the going?

We often see some pretty difficult conditions at Ayr with the weather playing a big part in reading the form of races. However, with the lack of rain in Britain the going is currently good to soft but drying. With more sun due over the course of Friday evening and Saturday morning, the only way it will be going is good.

The Big Trend

Kevin Stott is having the best year of his career so far and has recently run into a purple patch with eight wins from his last 53 outings operating at a conversion rate of 18%. He has a further six rides booked at Ayr on Saturday, five of them fall into Placepot races and he should be paid close attention as no doubt a few of them will have chances.

A Boy Named Ivy (1:20pm, Leg 1), Magical Spirit (2:30pm, Leg 3), Ey Up It’s Maggie (3:05pm, Leg 4), Hey Jonesy (3:40pm, Leg 5), Nicholas T (4:15pm, Leg 6)

Placepot Banker

 Addeybb has plenty going for him
Addeybb has plenty going for him

This was possibly the simplest decision of the day as it would be very surprising if ADDEYBB (1:55pm, Leg 2) does not manage to win, let alone finish in the top two. He is by far and away the best horse in the race and should be able to add a Listed victory to his CV. Tom Marquand could not be riding any better and the only way he will not be able to live up to the billing is if he has a problem on the day.

Outsider to Consider

The fourth leg of the Tote Placepot is a tricky one to dissect. Umm Kulthum is the worthy favourite and a lot will be fancying her chances after two promising runs at Thirsk and York.

However, you will not want to be relying on just the one in a 15-runner race. COUNTRY CARNIVAL (3:05pm, Leg 4) possesses a large amount of quality and has been very consistent this year with just the one disappointing result last time out finishing last to Zoetic at Newbury in the St. Hugh’s.

Another to consider including in the perm is Richard Hannon’s CONCESSIONS. She started her racing career in spectacular fashion winning at Chelmsford first time out and then she placed in a Listed affair at Newmarket. She needed a break when she wasn’t quite right at Sandown and returned with a valiant effort at Doncaster last time out. She will need a career best here to get back on target but it is not out of the question.

Torpedo Leg

The Ayr Gold Cup looks to be the race that could cause a possible Placepot Torpedo. A lot of those in the Silver Cup would have fancied their chance in the main race, Aplomb, King’s Lynn and Wasntexpectingthat the three that have been hard done by.

Just two favourites have won this race in the last 25 years and we expect some big outsiders to play a huge part here. Kevin Ryan has won this race 4 times in the last 13 years, which is more than anyone else and he has two runners here, both have good chances.

One of them, MAJOR JUMBO(3:40pm, Leg 5) could be saving his best performance for this race. It is suprising that he has gone off the boil recently but a third and second behind Judicial is some pretty good form and a 14th in this race last season off 8lb more could make a huge difference. His other runner, Hey Jonesy has had his moment in the sun this season and a win here is unlikely.

SPANISH CITY’s third in the Wokingham is looking like some very good form and at large odds is a very big player here. Second in that race was Summerghand, he won the Stewards Cup and fifth won the Portland last week. Ray Dawson takes off a further 5lbs and that looks to be more than enough to be involved here.

Finally, LEXINGTON DASH could return to a bit of form here. He started with two wins on the spin and then put in a solid performance at the July Meeting at Newmarket and then was too far back at Goodwood in the Stewards Cup. He got back on good at Newbury in August when finishing sixth then fourth at Doncaster just 9 days ago and the winner Haqeeqy has been raised 9lbs for that.

Our Placepot Perm

Leg 1: 1,4

Leg 2: 1

Leg 3: 3,6,9

Leg 4: 1,2,15

Leg 5: 3,12,25

Leg 6: 5

2 x 1 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 1 = 54 lines

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