By The Tote Team www.tote.co.uk
A fantastic Friday at the Curragh with two Group Three contests and a Listed race on the card. The Irish St Leger Trial is the feature, and while it would be nice to find the winner, a horse to place will do if you’re playing the Placepot there!
We’ve gone through the first six races, kicking off at 1:00pm, to bring you pointers for your potential perm.
How's the Going?
It’s Good to Yielding at the Curragh as it stands and, with warm but cloudy weather forecast, it’s unlikely to change too much before the off. There shouldn’t be too many excuses for beaten horses as far as the ground is concerned.
The Big Trend
There’s only one man to look towards in the Irish St Leger Trial (Leg 4 - 2:30), and that’s none other than Aidan O’Brien. The Ballydoyle supremo has won the last six runnings of the event, and has had a couple more placed in the last decade for good measure.
He often runs more than one horse in the race, so it’s perhaps telling that he’s relying solely on DELPHI in this year’s contest. The son of Galileo has improved with each of his three runs this season and looks to have more to give here. This is his first attempt at the 1m6f trip but he shapes as if it will suit, with his run last time out over 1m4f yielding a smooth success. It’s hard to look beyond him.
The Listed Curragh Stakes (2:00) is the third race on the card, and if putting up a similar performance to what we’ve already seen, it’s hard to imagine _FRENETIC _out of the first three.
She had three of today’s opponents behind when scoring on her second start over course and distance, before being touched off at Listed and Group 2 level on her subsequent starts. There’s nothing in this field that should obviously surpass her talents.
Ger Lyons is enjoying a fantastic season and that stretches to his two-year-olds, boasting a 19% strike-rate with his juveniles in 2020.
Outsider to Consider
It’s the Lyons two-year-olds that we’re sticking with when it comes to our first outsider to consider on the card. Though not seen on the racecourse yet, A TAAD MOODY (1:00) is one of 12 newcomers in the day’s opener, she looks to have the potential to be decent. She’s nicely bred, being a half-sister to Group 1-placed Sunny King and Listed winner Captain Ramius. Her sire Awtaad has made a steady start, with 32% of his runners finishing in the frame.
We fast-forward to the final race of the day for our second outsider to consider, this time in the shape of Joseph O’Brien’s VULTAN (3:30). Though only finishing seventh on debut, he showed a nice piece of tactical speed to switch from the outside to secure a position to challenge. He lacked the extra kick to really threaten the principles that day, but did stay on stoutly to be closest at the finish. Things didn’t go right when upped to 1m4½f next time, but back at somewhere in between, he’s worth chancing again.
The second race of the day (1:30) poses a real dilemma for Placepot players. Of the eight that are declared to line up, only Ger Lyons’ Talacre has been seen on the racecourse. The half-sister to Siskin has finished second on both those outings, and might be seen as a banker to progress.
However, a different type of Placepotter might wish to put up a couple against him, in case the newcomers have a bit about them. Sea The Stars filly SHANDRA is a half-sister to some useful types including dual Blandford Stakes winner Shamreen, and Woodbine Group 3 winner Shahroze. Her handler, Dermot Weld, has won three of the last six two-year-old Maidens in which he has had a runner, so his representative here warrants respect.
At a potentially big price, NEPALI isn’t without interest. Though Joseph Murphy isn’t known for his two-year-old runners, let alone winners, his filly is a half-sister to Group 2 victor Grandeur and a couple of other horses who were winners in their juvenile season. She could out-run her likely odds.
Our Placepot Perm
Leg 1: 12,14
Leg 2: 3,7
Leg 3: 4
Leg 4: 4,9
Leg 5: 4,5
Leg 6: 15,16
2 x 2 x 1 x 2 x 2 x 2 = 32 lines
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