Horse racing tips for Monday: Harry Allwood's three best bets

By Harry Allwood@harry_allwood
Mon 26 Jul 2021

Harry Allwood has three bets for the racing action at Ayr, Galway and Wolverhampton, and contenders chalked up at 20-1 and 14-1 are among his fancies.

3.55 Ayr: Baryshnikov at a general 15-8

Baryshnikov has progressed again this season and despite now being on a career-high rating of 88, he looks to hold strong claims of landing this 0-90 handicap.

After finishing an eye-catching fifth in the Zetland Gold Cup, the form of which has worked out extremely well, the gelding got back to winning ways at Ripon last time out where he was value for more than the winning margin suggests having been held up in a steadily run race.

The form of his victory at Chester in May has also worked out well, and David Barron remains in flying form with four winners and three horses placed from his past 14 runners.

Fast ground will suit this five-year-old who was successful over course and distance last year and is two from three under Connor Beasley, who is on board again on Monday.

Tricorn had been on a winning streak until disappointing in the Cumberland Plate last time out and may now be in the grip of the handicapper, while King Zain has some noteworthy form next to his name but has looked a shade weak in his finishes, so the selection looks the one to side with.

6.15 Galway: Exchange Rate each-way at 20-1 with Bet365

A fiercely competitive race on paper but, at 20-1, I can’t resist having a small investment each-way on Exchange Rate following his eye-catching run last time out.

The Willie Mullins-trained gelding finished fifth in the Irish Cesarewitch in 2018 off a rating of 89 and was runner-up in the November Handicap at Naas on his next start that year off the same rating before enduring a lengthy absence.

He now finds himself on a rating of 82 and, despite being off the track for 945 days ahead of his return at Listowel in June, he showed enough there to suggest he retains his ability plus raced keenly throughout after a slow start.

Now a nine-year-old, he is potentially vulnerable to younger legs here, but I expect connections will have had this race in mind for a while, and it is interesting they have persevered with Exchange Rate who has clearly had his problems.

Jody Townend also takes off a useful 5lb and if her mount can bounce back to his best, he is extremely well handicapped on his old form. He was also successful at this meeting in 2017.

7.05 Wolverhampton: Bakersboy each-way at a general 14-1

This three-year-old is a half-brother to star sprinter Kachy and showed strong form on his third start in a fast-track qualifier at this venue last year where he was beaten less than two lengths into fifth behind some useful rivals, including two rated over 100.

It is fair to say he has been a shade disappointing in three starts since, including his run last time out after being gelded.

He has had excuses on each occasion, though, and a return to this venue could see him bounce back to form.

He has also been given a chance by the handicapper and has already proved he has the ability to be much better than a rating of 79.

Tom Dascombe’s charge remains lightly-raced and Ben Curtis is booked to ride, so it will be disappointing if this youngster is not capable of producing a better effort here, despite being drawn in stall 11.

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