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Horse racing tips for Friday: Dave Nevison's three best bets at Musselburgh

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Thu 21 Jan 2021

Our website tipster has taken aim at the seven-race card at Musselburgh on Friday which will be shown live on Racing TV.

1.20 Musselburgh: Grumpy McGrumpface at 6-1 with Bet365

When this horse was second in a good bumper at Ayr in 2019, it looked very unlikely he would be seeking his first win in a novices’ handicap hurdle in 2021, and off a mark of just 97.

The subsequent hurdle ratings of those that finished around him in that bumper are much higher than he runs off here, and I believe he will ultimately end up a decent handicap hurdler.

He has got his rating following three runs over hurdles in the space of three weeks last month, all over the minimum trip, and was sent off at massive odds each time.

His first two runs were desperate, but he went into just about everyone’s notebooks on his latest appearance where his jumping had definitely improved, and after being last for most of the race, stayed on well on the outside of the field without being asked to do too much.

He is upped in trip here and given there are useful three-mile chasers in his pedigree, the extra distance seems certain to help him.

My strong view is that there is better to come, and having got himself a mark below 100, it is now time for him to start paying his way.

1.55 Musselburgh: Hang Tough at a general 5-1

Hang Tough looks to have improved for the switch to fences, and although he might have disappointed a little last time out, the winner has won again since, and he previously beat Don Herbager who won nicely on Tuesday.

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If Hang Tough produces that form again here, he will beat this modest field.

Cheekpieces have been added, as well as the tongue strap he usually wears, which might help him focus, and this course will certainly suit his running style.

2.25 Musselburgh: Goobinator at 100-30 with Paddy Power and Betfair

Has never run at Musselburgh but looks an ideal type for the track given he is a prominent racer who appears to be an out and out two miler.

His task may well have been made a little easier in this race as the only other horse who looked to want the lead is a non-runner, so he could be able to set his own pace.

He didn’t run too badly last time out, but certainly looked to be a non-stayer when fading late on.

He remains on the same rating of 130, but he is still just 4lb higher than his win on his penultimate start, and Donald McCain could not be in better form.

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