Horse racing tips: Dave Nevison's best bets for Friday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 13 May 2022

Website tipster Dave Nevison has three selections for Friday's racing action at York and Newbury, live on Racing TV.

3.00 York: Rogue Bear

He was only raised 2lb for being placed in both the Lincoln and the Spring Cup at Newbury this season and looks well treated.

He was narrowly beaten in the latter contest last time out behind Modern News, and this doesn’t look as strong a race.

He will also have a lot of front runners setting a strong pace in this field, which should enable him to get a really good tow into the race before making his challenge.

Jack Mitchell takes over again here, and he won on Rogue Bear on his debut at Doncaster plus his mount has only had six starts. I believe the selection could be in the picture for several more big handicaps this summer as he continues to improve and Tom Clover is in excellent form.

3.50 Newbury: Tralee Hills

Tralee Hills has been beaten off a rating of 77 on his past seven starts, and it’s a surprise the handicapper hasn’t even dropped him a pound, which would normally seem very unaccommodating at the very least.

However, a look at all those races shows that they have pretty much all been slowly-run affairs, which does not suit this horse's running style.

He always drops in early and only picks up as others are weakening in front of him. He is very effective on a big, galloping track such as Newbury, and in this big field, with a pace seemingly guaranteed this time, he is taken to break his losing run off this mark here.

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4.45 York: Il Bandito

I think the race Il Bandito won at Redcar last time could provide the winner here, and I have narrowly concluded that he will confirm form with Mossbawn, who is a pound better off at the weights for a half-length defeat.

Il Bandito was trained by Charles Hills last season and could not stop finishing second, a feat he managed to do six times following a win at Haydock in the spring.

A string of placed efforts would normally trigger alarm bells regarding a horse’s will to win, but it is difficult to point that finger to Il Bandito who has joined James Horton’s yard this season, and his fortunes seem to have been revived as he got up to win by a nose at Redcar.

His new trainer is making a very good impression and with Il Bandito’s mark basically flat-lining last season, the change of scenery could well be a reason for significant improvement.

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