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Horse racing tips: Dave Nevison's best bets at Ayr on Tuesday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Mon 27 Sep 2021

In-form tipster Dave Nevison has three fancies at Ayr on Tuesday, live on Racing TV.

The weather looks set to take a turn this week with plenty of rain forecast over the next few days and, if you are having a bet on Arc weekend, it is probably best to start looking at those who relish cut in the ground.

I quite like the periods when things turn, so hopefully I can have another decent week. My three bets on Tuesday all run at Ayr, live on Racing TV. Best of luck.

1.00 Ayr: Coase

This horse won on debut on heavy ground and looked set to be rated higher than he is now. He returns to soft ground for the first time since that run here and looks to have a good chance of gaining his first win since his debut.

He may have been treated harshly as he was given a rating of 86, but now finds himself off 76 despite having run well enough on his past few starts.

He has run well under useful apprentice Sean Kirrane and should be able to tuck just off the pace from stall one. Hopefully there will be eight runners at the off, as he looks an insurance bet for a place.

1.35 Ayr: Blind Beggar

I will be having a saver on Rory, who seemed to have an off day when well backed at the Ayr Gold Cup meeting, but conditions look to be spot on for Blind Beggar to produce his best.

He came up against a Group performer in a maiden earlier this season and was only defeated two and a half lengths, despite being on the wrong side of the track, and then won by nine lengths on ground similar to what he will encounter here.

He has only run in 0-105 handicaps since then, and has mostly run respectably, despite not getting the best of runs on occasions.

He was down to five furlongs, which looks too sharp nowadays, last time out and now races in 0-80 company here back over 6f, so it will take a good one to get past him.

2.45 Ayr: Kats Bob

Kats Bob has not yet managed to record a victory but has been a fast-finishing second on his past two starts over six furlongs, and it may just be that seven furlongs can bring about a victory.

He certainly shapes as though he will stay this new trip and there does not seem to be much pace in this race, so it seems likely he should be able to sit just off the front runners drawn around him.

He runs his best races on soft ground, so conditions will suit, and I am sure Andrew Mullen, who rode him last time, would have recommended the extra furlong.

Cheekpieces are also applied for the first time here, which will hopefully be a positive.

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