Horse racing tips: Betting expert Dave Nevison marks your card for Thursday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Wed 3 Mar 2021

Our website tipster believes three horses have chances at the weights on the cards at Taunton and Chelmsford on Thursday, all live on Racing TV.

3.05 Taunton: Sunny Express

He's bred to be a good chaser and certainly ran a good race last time in second, even if he had no chance against a handicap good thing.

While wind issues may have slowed or put a ceiling on his progression, he finished his race much better than has sometimes proved the case last and again runs from a mark of 107 here.

That rating is reasonable despite a 19-length defeat as the horse behind him in third has already come out and won a race. He was also rated 112 over hurdles and looks set to be a better chaser.

Silent Man has won his last two in bottomless ground but is now 20lbs higher than his first win and returns after a three-month lay-off. Most of the other runners are disappointing and, given Warren Greatrex had a couple of very welcome winners in February, I am trusting Sunny Express to back up with another good run.

5.20 Chelmsford: Dream World

She was a very consistent mare throughout last season and the signs were good on her first run for five months last time.

She was third in a four-runner race, but that was in the 0-85 bracket as opposed to this 0-75 race and she missed the kick slightly when she might have been a touch rusty. The runner-up has come out and won since, giving the form a solid look.

Dream World ran well in higher-grade races than this last term and won under Alistair Rawlinson at Newmarket. Her mark is 4lbs lower this evening.

She didn’t run well when first tried over a mile but her pedigree strongly suggests she should stay. I feel she is definitely worth persevering with.

5.50 Chelmsford: Deputise

I am hoping he has fallen far enough in the weights to be worth chancing here - though given connections I would like to see a positive market move.

There certainly hasn’t been any interest in recent starts, but he has dropped from a high of 100 down to a mark of just 74 here. He just showed enough last time after a characteristically slow start to suggest he may be coming back to form, finishing well enough and beaten less than four lengths. That was in the 0-90 grade and he has never contested a 0-75 handicap so is dropping massively in grade. His best recent efforts - though some time ago - came at six furlongs and he steps back up to that trip here.

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