Friday horse racing tips: Bets bets from Dave Nevison

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Thu 15 Jul 2021

Our pundit and website tipster Dave Nevison shares his three fancies on an action-packed Friday. Enjoy every moment from Newbury, Haydock, Killarney, Nottingham, Kilbeggan, Newmarket and Hamilton live on Racing TV and Racing TV Extra.

I’ll be in the studio dipping into the Newmarket card for the evening session, but unfortunately only one of the handicaps there has managed eight runners which tells its own tale for me. However, there is no shortage of action on the channel and hopefully these might go well on one of Hamilton’s best nights of the season.

1:15 Haydock: Autumn War at a general 11-4

Autumn War steps notably down in grade after his eye-catching fifth in the Northumberland Plate consolation event last time.

That was his first attempt at two miles and his rider may have been a little over-cautious fearing he may not stay. Autumn War was finishing to very good effect and is certainly one for another day over that trip, but he is accomplished at this 1m6f distance and the majority of this field ran below form last time.

Autumn War went lame the last time he ran in this grade of handicap, but he won on the previous occasion just before Christmas. Jim Crowley and Ian Williams have been a potent combination in staying handicaps for a good while now, including at Haydock Park.

6.55 Hamilton: Soul Seeker at 11-4 with Bet365

He showed that he’s capable of winning from his current mark when beaten on the line at Chester last time and it’s difficult to see him not putting up a good show.

Soul Seeker has been remarkably consistent despite having already had 10 runs this season, but he’s still actually quite lightly-raced for a four-year-old sprint handicapper and has won twice this campaign - including over this course and distance. Danny Tudhope was on board for that success and resumes the partnership here.

8.30 Hamilton: Four Kingdoms at 7-1 with Paddy Power and Betfair

He’s not the most consistent, but his poor runs are often in slowly-run affairs. This time, I’m hopeful that habitual front-runner Smart Lass and Too Big To Fail might ensure a consistent pace to enable Four Kingdoms to pick them up late on and register his first success for a while.

He’s been second on two of his last three starts, and last time behind a big improver. He’s definitely weighted to win a race at a track he goes well at and Paddy Mathers knows him well.

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