Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby runner-by-runner guide

By Danny Archer@dannyarchertv
Sat 25 Jun 2022

First run in 1866, the Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby has an illustrious roll of honour that includes greats such as Nijinsky, The Minstrel, Shirley Heights, Shergar, Monjteu, Galileo, High Chaparral and many more. Godolphin’s Hurricane Lane plundered the €1 million prize last year.

Sixteen remain in contention for Saturday’s renewal, including Tuesday, winner of the Oaks, and Westover, third in the Derby at Epsom. Below is a runner-by-runner guide. Make sure you watch the race live on Racing TV at 3.45pm.


Official rating: 103. Odds: 50/1

Well-beaten in the 2000 Guineas but shaped with promise when second in Listed company last time on first start over 12 furlongs. This clearly demands more.


Official rating: 107. Odds: 25/1

Fascinating runner given the form of Paddy Twomey’s runners (57% strike-rate in last two weeks). Made a successful reappearance over 10 furlongs at Cork, but he got outstayed in the Derby Trial Stakes at Leopardstown. Another out a Galileo mare, he should stay and is one of the more interesting each-way players.


Official rating: 104. Odds: 40/1

Flashback: Irish Derby Day in 2020

Plenty of promise when second to Stone Age at Leopardstown, but he plainly struggled to handle Epsom when 14th in the Derby. Boasts winning form at the Curragh, but more required.


Official rating: 111. Odds: 8/1

Looks a definite contender. He made a smooth start for Joseph O’Brien when winning the Gallinule, having been fourth in the Vertem Futurity Trophy for his former trainer Brian Meehan last season. He’s related to Fledged, who has won over 12 and 14 furlongs, and shapes like a stayer for a trainer targeting his second win in the race.

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Official rating: 102. Odds: 10/1

Menuisier spoke to Alex Steedman about Lionel on Tuesday

Another who demands a second look. Needed every yard of the 11-furlong trip when landing the Cocked Hat at Goodwood. And his dam Gretchen was a winner over 12 furlongs. Given his size and scope, he looks all about stamina. A galloping track like The Curragh should play to his strengths and the forecast rain will also benefit him. He seems sure to be staying on strongly at the business end.


Official rating: 109. Odds: 10/1

Another interesting contender. He looked all about stamina when landing the Ballysax but failed to figure in the Derby. Trainer Donnacha O’Brien has reported that “he was all over the place on the track” at Epsom. Stamina should not be an issue and he deserves plenty of respect back on this more conventional, galloping course.


Official rating 116. Odds: 7/4

Narrow winner of the Sandown Classic Trial and caught most eyes when third in the Derby after finding trouble. Once finally finding an out at the furlong pole, he thundered home to finish two and three-quarter lengths behind Desert Crown. Must go well here, particularly with Colin Keane now in the plate. Seems versatile regards the ground and stamina is clearly no issue. It’s difficult to find chinks in his armour.


Official rating: 117. Odds: 6/4

Watch a full replay of the Oaks

Bids to become the third horse to win the Oaks and Irish Derby after Salsabil in 1990 and Balanchine in 1994. It speaks for itself that Aidan O’Brien relies on her, leaving his colts at home. A short-head winner over Emily Upjohn at Epsom, Ryan Moore was adamant that there was more left in the tank at the line which should quell any stamina concerns. By Galileo and out Of Lillie Langtry, she was second in the Irish 1000 Guineas so the track is no concern and with the fillies’ allowance she warrants serious consideration.

Danny's big-race verdict

Westover was unlucky in the Derby, but I think suggestions that he would have won with a clear run are folly. He seems sure to make a bold bid but preference is for Tuesday, who can emulate Salsabil and Balanchine and complete the Oaks-Irish Derby double. Lionel will appreciate any rain and this test should be right up his street.

1 Tuesday 2 Westover 3 Lionel

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