Dave Nevison' tops tips for Saturday: Bank on big guns obliging at 9-1

By Dave Nevison
Fri 19 Oct 2018

The Ascot card will provide fantastic racing on Saturday but to my mind doesn’t provide the betting opportunities possibly expected.

I will be having a treble on the three high class good things of the afternoon: Stradivarius, Cracksman and Lah Ti Dar. I fully expect them all to win and the treble pays about 9-1 at the present odds on offer.

The extra place offers that are currently in vogue have saved my bacon in a massive way since the summer and did so again last weekend.

All I want to do is make a profit, so I shall advise you to continue taking up the offers while you can.

However, it would be nice to find a winner of one of the big handicaps soon as the best I have mustered recently is a second in the Cambridgeshire. I feel there is a big chance in the 20-runner finale at Ascot.

4.30 Ascot: Flaming Spear each-way at a general 8-1 with the many firms offering five places

[(full)Watch Replay] () Flaming Spear finishes fast at Ascot last time

It was obviously felt last time that a 7lb claimer would help this highly rated horse more than a jockey who knows and rides him well.

However, it didn’t work and the less experienced rider judged it wrong. This is not sour grapes - I am certain delivering horses perfectly on the straight course at Ascot is seriously challenging - but I have no doubt that one of the best around in these situations is Robert Winston.

He will resume the partnership on Saturday, having scored on him three times previously.

Anyone who saw Flaming Spear last time would have seen just how much ground he made up in the last furlong and those who backed him might have wept!

The horse is clearly in brilliant from, as he had demonstrated at Goodwood on his previous start, and goes on the ground.

I have always thought since his debut win at York that he was a Group horse and maybe he will show that next season but big-field handicaps suit him and he can land this despite top weight.

I think he is a worth a good bet with advantageous place terms.

5.10 Catterick: Echo

This horse is by Zoffany so might not be expected to get this almost 14 furlongs trip.

However, his running style suggests it is a good move and in a very modest race I put him up as the nap.

Last time out, and on his first run for five months, he showed improved form over 12 furlongs and was staying on very well at the finish.

He will certainly be fresher than most in this this field and has a useful 3lb claimer on board in Andrew Breslin.

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