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Dave Nevison's Wednesday tips: Simcock and Spencer to strike with Tiger

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Wed 7 Oct 2020

I am resisting the temptation to get involved in the Jumps action just yet but will be watching Ludlow closely on Wednesday afternoon, as there look to be a number of horses with decent potential engaged.

However, there is also no shortage of interest on a really good Kempton Park card, with several races looking like they will supply plenty of winners on the All-weather this winter. All in all, it could be an informative day.

6.30 Kempton: Mr Top Hat

An old friend on this page who spent a long time dropping down the handicap but has found a new level and consistency recently and can at least get in the frame here and reward each-way support.

The short-priced favourite is the lightly-raced Galileo colt Law Of One, who represents Sir Michael Stoute and Ryan Moore and has run very well on both his starts so far. In the hope he turns out to be just a touch on the slow side, I feel there are enough positives about Mr Top Hat to go against him.

He is looking ready for a step up in trip as he was staying on well against a Haggas improver last time and has been dropped back a pound for that effort. William Buick looks a very interesting booking for his in form trainer - my colleague Chris Dixon having already flagged up the good record of the pair in his Notes And Angles column.

7.30 Kempton Park: Tiger Crusade

It will obviously be a heart-in-the-mouth job with Jamie Spencer on a hold-up horse drawn on the inside, but I think Tiger Crusade is worth a good bet in a race that is worth keeping a close eye on for future winners.

He got going too late last time at Ascot, but the winner of that event scored impressively next time so the form should be strong. However the key piece of form here may be Tiger Crusade’s win at Doncaster, which he took in good style, with the second, third and fourth-home all now much higher in the weights and competing in strong handicaps.

David Simcock’s three-year-old has been off all summer and as a result has remained on a generous-looking mark. Provided the reasons for his absence aren’t too onerous, his trainer is now in excellent form and he looks set to go very well back under Spencer, who rode him to win his maiden last season.

8.00 Kempton Park: Company Minx

This filly probably should have won last time at Lingfield and the handicapper has been either remiss or overly generous not to raise her a couple of pounds at least.

She got bumped coming out of the stalls and then met trouble in running before having to be switched close home, however she was finishing very strongly at the line.

That was over six furlongs and she will definitely improve over this extra furlong. In a race where there is guaranteed pace she should be able to pick her way through some largely-exposed rivals.

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