Dave Nevison's Wednesday tips: Make the most of Access at 28-1

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Tue 24 Nov 2020

Our website tipster has a big-priced fancy in the opener at Lingfield plus two other selections at Wetherby and Kempton.

12.00 Lingfield: Restricted Access at a general 28-1

This horse may not set the world alight, but I have had success with this yard’s big-priced horses in the past and I think it is safe to ignore this filly’s last three runs due to bad ground, hurdles and a very wide trip.

Before then she had shown moderate, but promising, form and had paid the price for running well in a decent Salisbury maiden where she finished in front of two subsequent winners.

She has now dropped to a mark of 55 and Tyler Saunders claims a useful 5lb off her back.

She is running over a trip more in keeping with her pedigree and if she takes to the Lingfield surface, she could be better than her price suggests.

12.15 Wetherby: First Impression at a general 5-6

First Impression was an improving and decent middle-distance handicapper when last seen on the flat, winning a ten-furlong handicap at the Ayr Gold Cup meeting in good style.

He looked as though he had made the transition to hurdling well on his debut when just failing to get up by the narrowest of margins over this course and distance.

It didn’t seem too much of a stretch to step him up to Listed grade for the big juvenile hurdle at the track last month but he didn’t jump as well and never got into a rhythm, and was eventually beat 13 lengths.

However, the form was boosted by the winner since and it looks very unlikely that many of his rivals would have even got that close to Duffle Coat. He will be a warm favourite to score here but is worth siding with.

7.10 Kempton: Bobby Wheeler at a generael 9-1

We should know our fate pretty quickly with this one as I think a good run seems certain if Adam Kirby gets the lead, but looking at the running styles of the rest of the field, that should certainly be possible.

This horse went decidedly off the boil in the spring and after finsihing a good second off a mark of 80, has found himself on a 10lb lower mark here.

He certainly seemed freshened up after an eight-month break last time and lasted in front until just about the furlong pole.

Provided he hasn’t gone backwards from that run, he can score in this much lower grade than he was running in a couple of seasons ago.

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