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Dave Nevison's tips for Tuesday: Lady Dancealot can get in the groove

By Dave Nevison
Tue 20 Aug 2019

Top tipster Dave Nevison has three selections to keep you a step ahead of the bookmakers on Tuesday.

4.30 Kempton: Lethal Lunch at 3-1 with bet365

Is the first of two horses I fancy on Tuesday despite fairly long absences. Lethal Lunch looked one to follow after a good reappearance effort over Tuesday’s course and distance. That fourth place, 164 days ago, came in a 0-95 and was off a mark 7lb higher than when winning on his final appearance of last season.

Clive Cox has his team in excellent form and has barely had a horse out of the frame recently.

The booking of Adam Kirby on a favourite at Kempton has been particularly notable for Cox with a 44 per cent strike-rate over five years. I will be even more encouraged if this one is strong in the market.

5.05 Kempton: Lady Dancealot at a general 5-2

Watch how Lady Dancealot won at Kempton in November

It is a little surprising that this filly has not raced on artificial surfaces this year as she looked to have a real future on it when winning over course and distance last backend.

That was her latest victory but she looked an unlucky loser to me at Newmarket last time when denied a clear run.

Lady Dancealot has a good draw and is only 2lb higher than when last successful, plus she is back in 0-85 having been placed in 0-100 at York this summer. She has an awful lot going for her here and is my nap to get some York funds in the kitty.

5.40: Kempton: Sir Prize at 2-1 with bet365

Dean Ivory brought Librisa Breeze back from a longer absence than this one has spent off the track – the grey running a cracker to be runner-up in a Group Two last weekend - so I am not unduly concerned about the six months that Sir Prize has been off the track.

Ivory is generally in good form in the summer months and this year is proving no exception.

Sir Prize was in good form around this track in the depths of winter and he ran well in defeat last time, plus he is down a grade here.

He is a four-year-old and top weight here but even though he is against younger horses he looks the least exposed in the field, with the exception of the bottom weight, Champ Ayr, who needs to do a lot more.

Sir Prize has been held up to win both times this year and should get a pace to run off here. He looks well handicapped off 68.

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