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Dave Nevison's Tuesday tips: Abbotside to gain reward for consistency

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Tue 29 Sep 2020

Our top tipster has three selections for Ayr's card, including James Bethell's Abbotside. See how his selections get on live on Racing TV.

The last couple of weeks have been characterised by me putting up invariably well-backed losers early in the week before turning things around with a couple of winners at the weekend. Hopefully I can have a smoother ride this week and get one home here from three selections at Ayr.

2.40 Ayr: Real Smooth at a general 33-1

We'll start with one at a seriously big price and there is no doubt that he has to massively improve on his efforts for R Mike Smith so far this season, but I felt he did show a little bit more last time when ninth of 13 here 11 days ago.

He has now been dropped a total of 12lb from four runs for this trainer which was to be expected on the form he has shown, but all of those starts came over a mile and he is coming down by a furlong in distance here as well as being dropped into a 0-65 for the first time in his career. Hopefully the faster pace should enable Megan Nicholls to settle him a little better and conserve some of his energy for the end of the race.

3.15 Ayr: Harrison Point at 11-4 with Sky Bet and Bet365

Things have been unusually quiet for Hollie Doyle in the last couple of weeks but she has certainly not forgotten how to ride a winner and did a good job on the difficult Solid Stone at Chelmsford at the weekend. She is reunited with Harrison Point here and can win on him for the fifth time from eight starts.

Harrison Point wins at Beverley under Hollie Doyle two starts ago

Off his highest-ever mark he might have been a shade unlucky under champion jockey Oisin Murphy last time at this track, but he has not been raised in the weights for that good effort. In a slightly-less competitive event and off the same mark, he has a very obvious chance to win.

3.50 Ayr: Abbotside at 11-2 with Bet365

Still looking for his first victory, this race offers a good opportunity for the James Bethell-trained gelding to break his duck. As proved last week (thankfully!) the stable remain in excellent form after a very good season and this horse has not run a bad race all summer.

He was dropped back to maiden company last time and went off favourite but, typical of his luck, came up against a big improver who beat him narrowly before going on to run another big race at the Ayr Gold Cup meeting. The well-beaten third also won next time out so I am pretty sure this was another improved effort. The handicapper has had no choice but to raise him again but he is more consistent than his rivals here and though they are useful none look as though they might have further improvement.

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