Dave Nevison's top tips for Wednesday: Celebrate with Independence Day

By Dave Nevison
Tue 22 Oct 2019

As someone who pretty much bets in handicaps and rarely gets involved in two-year-olds or maiden races, Wednesday is going to be pretty quiet for me.

There will no doubt be lots to learn from Newmarket and Kempton and the cards are structured with the future careers of horses in mind, but I will be keeping bets to a minimum.

There is no shortage of opportunity for punting later in the week.

5.40 Kempton: Jems Bond at 7-2 with bet365

Is improving and might end up better than a 0-60 type looking at how he stayed on last time out at Newcastle.

Several of his southern-based rivals have had plenty of runs and their form seems to have plateaued, at best, so the journey to Kempton may be rewarding, though it is concerning his trainer is only 1-43 at the track.

He is drawn well enough in six and hopefully will not end up too far back to challenge.

7.40 Kempton: Visionara at 11-2 with William Hill

This one may be worth a look in a race that looks set to be run at a good pace.

That will suit this filly, who has been looking as though a mile will suit.

She has been outclassed when trying the trip but finished well last time in a race of similar grade and her stable is in good form.

8.10 Kempton: Independence Day at 7-1 with bet365

Is bottom weight in a 0-55, so is hardly the most convincing of runners but recent form has been consistent and the run last time was a fair performance against a winner who has won again since.

This horse got raised far too much for winning his only handicap from a mark of 54 and has spent a long time coming down from a mark of 67.

However, the handicapper might have been too lenient for dropping him another 2lb for a good effort last time and he is worth a chance. All surfaces come alike to him and bet365 offer a standout 7-1.

Dave's top trio:

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