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Dave Nevison's top tips for Tuesday: Tor has "big chance" at Musselburgh

By Dave Nevison
Tue 15 Oct 2019

Racing TV's betting expert marks your card for the action at Musselburgh and believes a contender in the 4.15pm is very well handicapped.

2.40 Musselburgh: Newstead Abbey at a general 25-1

I hope I was not being too forgiving, but I thought when watching this horse’s run last time out there were encouraging signs and I believe there are reasons for giving him a chance here.

He is running over a course and distance he has performed reasonably well over in the past as he was placed on both occasions in a 0-80 and 0-75 handicap.

He is running in a 0-60 here off a rating of 50 and, if indeed there was a spark of life last time, he will go close.

His draw is fine and trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a great record at Musselburgh.

3.45 Musselburgh: Pavers Pride at a general 10-1

This is another horse who is plummeting down the weights that is back into a grade he is very capable of winning in.

He missed the break in a 0-80 last time and is not good enough to forfeit ground against that level of horse but had previously run two decent races after a breathing operation.

His trainer has had a 66-1 winner and a 22-1 second from only a handful of runners in recent weeks, so appears to be in form, and Pavers Pride has won twice over course and distance, which is another positive.

4.15 Musselburgh: Tor at 7-2 with Bet365 and William Hill

I have tipped this horse a couple of times recently only for him not to run, but Musselburgh looks certain to go ahead on Tuesday and he has a big chance.

He certainly is very well handicapped, and I think may prove well suited by going two miles now.

Danny Tudhope is riding brilliantly and must be a significant booking on Tor’s first run for the yard.

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