Dave Nevison's top tips for Tuesday: Tone The Barone rates a banker

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Tue 11 Feb 2020

Our top tipster was ine fine form with his selections last week and has three fancies at Chelmsford - watch how they fare live on Racing TV.

2.40 Chelmsford: Double Reflection at 15-2 with bet365

One of my pet theories that has helped me in the past - homegrown, anecdotal and not scientifically proven - is that moderate horses can win three races in quick succession but find it very difficult to win four on the bounce.

Elusife won in 0-50 classified company last time but now finds himself in a 0-70 - a level he has never managed even to get placed in.

He makes a market here, at about Evens, and Double Reflection, well-handicapped for a while, showed just enough last time to think he can come good.

He is professionally ridden on Tuesday and might appreciate a drop in trip.

3.15 Chelmsford: Cottonopolis at a general 7-2

Might be worth a small bet given that he is likely to lead a small, modest field under a jockey, Joe Fanning, who is riding brilliantly.

Mark Johnston has been doing well on the all-weather this winter and, while this is one of the yard's lesser lights, Cottonopolis should be able to win a handicap soon.

3.45 Chelmsford: Tone The Barone at 4-6 with William Hill

Rates the day's handicap banker on Racing TV on Tuesday. The only small reservation I have is that this run may come too soon after his course and distance win last time.

Winning a sprint by six lengths is devastating for your handicap mark and trainer Stuart Williams has no choice but to run Tone The Barone under a penalty. Adam Kirby takes over this time.

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