Dave Nevison's top tips for Tuesday: Good Tidings can bring joy at Kempton

By Dave Nevison
Mon 18 Nov 2019

Racing TV's betting expert has three fancies for the racing action at Kempton and Chelmsford on Tuesday plus reveals a horse that caught his eye at Cheltenham's November meeting.

Although day one of The November Meeting at Cheltenham on Friday was abandoned, it was still an absolutely brilliant meeting at Prestbury Park and among several eyecatchers I would probably nominate Nicky Henderson’s mare Dame De Compagnie as one that is likely to win a handicap in the near future.

She appeals to me as a Lanzarote Hurdle winner as she is proven over two and a half miles and was staying on after clearly blowing up in the Greatwood Hurdle on Sunday.

It is the all-weather flat cards on Tuesday that take my eye and here are my three best bets.

2.20 Kempton: Montatham

I have long thought that front runners who end up winning races by wide margins get overly penalised and I believe that may prove to be the case with Bear Force One who looked impressive when winning his first handicap by five lengths last time out, but has gone up 11lbs as a result.

My selection has gone up just 1lb for a good effort over a trip probably short of his best at Musselburgh last time out.

You have to take on trust that Montatham will act on an artificial surface but backing William Haggas-trained runners who make their all-weather debut in a handicap has been a very profitable angle as it has yielded a 24 per cent strike-rate since 1997 (stat courtesy of Proform database) so he looks worth chancing.

3.20 Kempton: Good Tidings

The Pinto Kid and Kitaabaat were both winners for this column last time out and it is tough to desert them, but I think Good Tidings is the one to side with in this contest.

The key thing here is the application of headgear as he has edged right and carried his head slightly high in some of his runs, though on his most recent efforts it could have been improved upon with a stronger pace in a bigger field.

He will get both here and I will be disappointed if he doesn’t improve significantly.

You can do much worse than backing John Gosden blind at Kempton and hopefully Good Tidings might be well named and pay for a few Christmas presents.

7.45 Chelmsford: Andaleep

Andaleep is a more speculative bet but definitely has an each-way chance in the last race of the evening.

He was badly handicapped in Ireland, so it is understandable that a hurdling career was attempted, but it looks as though it was the right decision to curtail that and switch back to the flat at this stage.

It certainly looked as though he was on a winnable handicap mark last time out when he was staying on and was beaten less than a length into fourth place. It looks as though an extra two furlongs should be well within range as well.

Dave's top trio:

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