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Dave Nevison's top tips for Thursday: Solar to scale heights at Chelmsford

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Wed 12 Feb 2020

Our top tipster likes the chances of a couple running at Leicester on Thursday plus also has a fancy for the evening action at Chelmsford.

3.00 Leicester: Caltex at 8-1 with Bet365

Michael Scudamore has a strong record with horses he runs for the first time after leaving other yards and Caltex has already shown enough in recent weeks to suggest he will be improving his recent acquisitions from Claire Dyson’s yard.

I think there are good reasons to think this one can win and he looks worth a decent bet at a price. He is now a stone lower than last season plus he also showed clear signs on his final run for Dyson that all was not lost and he may be on his way back to form when running well at Doncaster.

It is a little concerning that Scudamore has applied all the headgear Caltex has been wearing for recent runs, but the market will tell us whether that is a positive tactic or whether this run is a getting to know you, blank sheet of paper run.

I am happy to take a chance but will be keeping Caltex in my tracker as he is definitely on a decent mark.

4.00 Leicester: Donatello Mail at a general 11-4

Donatello Mail returns to Leicester where he was beat by the minimum of margins last time out and can make amends for another trainer who may just be returning back to form after a quiet spell.

That race was over two miles which definitely looked short enough for Donatello Mail last time and with expected improvement over fences plus the extra half mile, he can win this modest affair.

Sam Twiston-Davies is excellent around Leicester and keeps the ride.

7.00 Chelmsford: Solar Heights at 4-5 with Sky Bet

This horse is a stone better off with Geizy Teizy on their recent run which should enable James Tate’s filly to put some distance between them this time.

It is also probable that the drop down in trip will suit her better than the other filly who may want a step up if anything. Solar heights will be short but should score.

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