Dave Nevison's top tips for Saturday: Fiscal ready to rule at the Curragh

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 26 Jun 2020

Racing TV's top tipster has a selection at Redcar, two each-way fancies in the Nortumberland Plate plus also thinks he's found the winner of the Irish Derby.

Listen to the latest On The Wire, including a full Irish Derby preview

2.50 Redcar: Star Shield at 11-2 with Bet365

This horse ran itself into winning form last year and looks to be doing the same again this time around.

He signalled his turn was near with a very good effort over seven furlongs last time out and I expect him to be spot-on for this run.

He broke his maiden over the straight mile here and has never been out of the frame in subsequent runs on this track, which clearly suits him very well.

Predicting the weather is proving difficult this weekend as the heatwave is definitely set to break with a deluge of rain, but Star Shield seems to go on any ground, so conditions should not be a problem.

3.35 Newcastle: Just Hubert each-way at 14-1 and Rajinsky each-way at 11-1 (both with Paddy Power and Betfair who are paying six places)

I am happy to have two goes at prices in the Northumberland Plate on the basis that if one finishes in the first six, I should cover my stakes.

William Muir is having a good time of it this season and has an Investec Derby candidate next weekend but would be happy to pick this race up along the way.

Just Hubert was a very likeable stayer last season and progressed to win a decent handicap at Musselburgh off a mark of 86 amongst three wins over staying trips.

He is only 3lb higher here and although last on his reappearance, I thought he did enough to suggest he may have another good season.

Rajinsky is a similar type to Proschema, the horse Jane Elliott rode to be a fast-finishing third in this race last year and will no doubt be ridden in a similar fashion.

He is not proven at the trip but improves every time he is stepped up in distance and I think he will be suited by the long home straight here.

He performed with credit when running at this track three starts ago and it very much looks as though this has been the race Tom Dascombe has had in his mind.

I believe he could still be well handicapped against some very useful horses who have little room for manoeuvre off their rating.

7.15 Curragh: Fiscal Rules at a general 8-1

Watch how Fiscal Rules fared in the Irish 2,000 Guineas

Click here to view out Irish Derby runner-by-runner guide.

Tipping a maiden to win a Derby is not something I ever thought I would try to do but this is a good horse and has just about the best form coming into this race.

Jim Bolger obviously rates him extremely highly and pitched him in the Irish 2,000 Guineas on his second start and he ran a blinder.

He did avoid trouble in that race but in doing so went very wide and could have been rated higher in my book.

He is bred to be much better suited by this trip and I expect him to improve again and go very close indeed.

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