Dave Nevison's top tips for Saturday: Cape Byron made to measure at 6-1

By Dave Nevison
Fri 5 Oct 2018

Betting expert Dave Nevison has four tips for the action on Saturday.

1.40 Fontwell: Apachee Prince each-way at 9-1

Olly Murphy does not usually take too long to get his recruits to win but this one has taken a while.

However, back over hurdles on the same mark as his latest success gives him a real opportunity.

He signalled that things were about to come right with a good effort over fences last time. It would not surprise if he was well backed in this modest event.

1.50 Ascot: Spring Loaded each-way at 9-2 with Sky Bet (paying five places)

On the basis that if bookies offer it we might as well take it, the five places offered by Sky Bet in the opening race at Ascot on Saturday looks ridiculously generous.

Spring Loaded is reunited in this competitive Listed event with Adam Kirby, who won on him over course and distance in July. Sine then he has had very tough tasks in top sprint handicaps and may actually find this event a bit easier.

There is a disproportionate number of front-runners in the field and that will suit Spring Loaded perfectly.

A light campaign may well mean he is fresher than most and he looks a good bet to me, especially on the beneficial place terms.

2.45 Redcar: Beat Le Bon each-way at 11-1 with Sky Bet (paying five places)

I wasn’t the only one who was massively impressed with how this one looked when I saw him before his debut at Newbury. Having not backed him at big odds, I breathed a huge sigh of relief when he got out run close home by an experienced Roger Varian horse.

It was not the best maiden ever run at Newbury but the first two were six lengths ahead of a field that has produced a good winner and I remain positive about Beat Le Bon.

The subsequent run came after a lay-off in the Haynes, Hanson and Clark Stakes which is always a hot race.

This Redcar event is never as competitive as the numbers and especially so in my view this time.

Vintage Brut and Summer Daydream look like “mudders” and there is nothing I can see that has the scope for improvement of the Richard Hannon-trained runner.

3.35 Ascot: Cape Byron at a general 6-1 each-way (five places with most firms)

If I do my stake on this one at enhanced place terms I will be gobsmacked.

It is difficult to find a more consistent high class handicapper who deserves a reward for his efforts - his second last time in a similar event being the latest in a succession of good efforts.

The trip is fine, ground will be fine - even if it does rain as predicted - and his latest win was at around this time last year over this straight course at Ascot.

Given that his yard in in good form it is difficult to see what is not to like and I believe if he can make up the half a length that Rip Orff beat him last time he will win.

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