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Dave Nevison's top tips for Friday: Nicholls set for Newmarket strike

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 10 Jul 2020

There is definitely a strong case for finishing work early on Friday and getting home to watch some fantastic Flat and jumps action on Racing TV.

I have spread the net and am hoping for winners at Musselburgh and Newmarket, starting with...

3.00 Newmarket: Christopher Wood

Paul Nicholls will be trying hard to win the Summer Plate at Market Rasen and has bright prospects of winning the most valuable handicap of the day on the Flat with this improving stayer.

I thought he won with authority at Pontefract last time without enjoying the best of runs.

The handicapper has pushed him up 3lb but that looks generous, especially with the race working out well.

I believe there is further improvement to come up in trip as he is stoutly bred on his dam’s side.

He is ensured a good pace here and ground on the soft side will suit him better than some rivals.

3.25 Musselburgh: Gowanbuster

Watch how Gowanbuster scored last time

Has to win here as he will be running off a mark 3lb higher in the future.

He bolted up last time out by three and a half lengths over course and distance, beating two of these rivals, and if anything this looks easier.

His draw next to the stands’ rail looks perfect and I have no doubt he will get out and try to lead. The two horses drawn next to him tend to miss it at the start and the horses likely to challenge late are drawn on the outside.

Boudica Bay beat some disappointing short runners at Redcar last time and the 6lb rise takes her way above marks she has been beaten off several times. I’ll be surprised if she can defy it, but her course record means she will have support.

5.40 Musselburgh: Mapped

Briefly looked as though he might come through to win over two miles here last week but to my eyes did not quite see out the trip.

He is running 3lb wrong compared to races next week but he has form over this trip that suggests he is worth another chance.

He is fully a stone lower than when he started last season and has run respectably in various company on occasions. In this grade over his optimum trip he can win a modest race.

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