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Dave Nevison's top tips for Friday: Le Chiffre ready to complete Hamilton mission

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Thu 2 Jul 2020

Dave Nevison tipped three winners from three selections on Thursday and has taken aim at the nine-race card at Hamilton on Friday, one of three meetings live on Racing TV.

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4.15 Hamilton: Galloway Hills at a general 9-2

I joined in the gamble on this horse last week and he ran well without scoring. It looked like it was a gamble due to the form he had shown in the past, rather than stable inspired, and it was easy to see why punters latched on to him.

He is running off a rating 5lb lower than when he landed a decent handicap at York last summer and wasn’t raised for his Redcar reappearance.

He stayed on into third over this course and distance in a similar race to this last season, but I am hoping he will be ridden more prominently this time, like he has been on his recent starts. His trainer remains in decent form and the ground will not be an issue.

4.50 Hamilton: Dawaaween at 7-4 with Bet365

I was most impressed with this filly last week over this course and distance and though conditions are likely to be completely different on Friday, I really cannot see why she won’t defy the 5lb penalty.

She was well backed beforehand and travelled all over her rivals throughout before eventually winning by five lengths.

The handicapper has taken a similar view of the performance and raised her 10lb, so she is clearly well in under a penalty here.

That win came against fillies only, but there doesn’t look to be any colt or gelding in the same sort of form as her in this event and her stable has continued to be in good form since her win, plus have already had a winner this month.

5.50 Hamilton: Le Chiffre at 13-8 with Bet365

I always look very closely when David O’Meara runs horses outside the upper handicap limit of a race and this one looks a good thing to follow up.

He was already rated 70, the ceiling of this handicap, but he stormed home by three and a half lengths last week at Beverley where he looked a rung or two at least above this grade.

The handicapper agrees and even though he carries a 6lb penalty, he is still 2lb well in, and this course is not dissimilar to Beverley.

I think the adjustment is lenient and the only thing that could stop him is the ground. However, his dam won one of her two victories on heavy and I am taking the view that he is simply a more mature and stronger individual this year.

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