Dave Nevison's tips for Thursday: High Commissioner can take charge

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Thu 23 Jul 2020

Our top tipster has three selections for the meetings at Pontefract and Sandown - watch how they fare live on Racing TV

2.20 Pontefract: Pavers Pride at 9-2 with William Hill

Got out of the stalls in excellent order when winning last time and if he does the same this afternoon I believe he will defy his penalty.

Paver’s Pride beat some low-grade but bang-in- form sprinters last time in good style and the runner-up has gone in since. He would have won on his penultimate start, too, had he not ed the break.

He is in a higher grade on Thursday but has won in 0-70 class in the past and, in any case, I fancy he is an improved sprinter for Paul Midgley.

Despite the stiff nature of the track I like sprinters who race up with the pace at Pontefract. If Oisin Murphy gets him out sharp, the race could develop into a tussle between him and the fast-starting Equipped, who looks the main danger.

6.30 Sandown: Dourado at 10-1 with bet365

Dourado can get back to winning ways

The handicapper has been slow to drop this horse but he now finds himself in the lowest grade he has been in and on his reappearance, at Goodwood, looked like he might be winning again soon.

On his latest start out he got squeezed for room and had to be switched and could not make up sufficient ground, not for the first time in his career.

However, his mark is now 7lb below his last winning turf effort and he is dropped back to 7f, a trip he has won over three times. He has never scored at a mile, the distance he has been running over recently.

A big field and a predicted fast pace at a track with lots of room could see Dourado run very well here.

Unexposed Conscious will be shortish-priced favourite but looks already as though he needs further so he makes the each-way angle attractive to me.

7.30 Sandown: High Commissioner at 5-1 with bet365

May be a bit soft given he is a longstanding maiden but he has a lot going for him here and has prospects of breaking his duck in this big field but not hugely competitive handicap.

Even if he runs below his best, he should be in the four for my money.

The step up in trip was too far for him last time and his best figures have been achieved over Thursday’s distance. He should get the lead from his draw and a combination of trip, the most valuable 3lb claim in the country and a slight drop in the handicap make him the bet over several exposed types.

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