Dave Nevison's Thursday tips: Take Flight under ideal conditions

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Thu 13 Aug 2020

In terms of quality, the cards at Salisbury and Leopardstown offer the strongest fare on Racing TV on Thursday and there are a couple of races at both tracks that should make for particularly informative viewing.

However, as a punter, I have always enjoyed tackling Scottish cards with particular relish and it is to Hamilton Park's meeting that I have turned with my three selections. Best of luck with whatever you are hoping to be cheering home.

2.10 Hamilton: Lyons Lane

This is competitive for the grade and admirable old-timers Astrophysics and Economic Crisis both arrive here in good form, however they might well find it tough against a couple of progressive younger sprinters.

Lyons Lane started out for her new stable off a basement mark but Julie Camacho is having a terrific year and I believe this four-year-old will finish the campaign running in much higher grade than today's race.

She showed virtually nothing for Michael Dods but has clearly thrived for her new trainer and is still only just above a plater's mark, despite victories on her latest two starts, most recently winning a little snugly at Ayr 16 days ago. She is not proven on bottomless ground and a deluge could be worrying but the current forecast conditions should be fine.

Lyons Lane wins at Ayr last month

3.10 Hamilton: Autumn Flight

I had a friendly professional disagreement with colleague Chris Dixon last weekend, as this horse was the first horse I put a line through in a tough Thirsk handicap. I remain convinced he pretty much needs soft ground to excel, but am happy to concede to Chris that he can also run well on better ground as he ran a really good third from 2lb out of the weights in that 0-95 contest.

What that run certainly showed is that he is back to his best form and in a race two grades lower, and on soft ground, he must have a solid chance. He looks set to get the lead in the middle of the track and though he has not won over six furlongs here, he was beaten less than half-a-length in a similar race early last summer. The cheekpieces are back on too.

4.50 Hamilton: Tigerten

If we could be certain that this horse would act with give in the ground, he could surely go off at a very short price in this weak-looking event.

I was feeling good about a bet on a Brian Ellison-trained horse at double-figure odds that went off at just 7-2 last time out, only for this horse to prove simply in a different league. Sent into the lead from the start, he never saw a rival and won by seven and a half lengths.

I am convinced the second and third-home in that race will be worth sticking with in the same grade so am marking the race as a strong event and cannot see any reason apart from the ground as why he might not follow up. Joseph Tuite has obviously sent him a very long way and stuck with Rossa Ryan in the saddle. Hopefully that marathon journey will not be in vain.

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