Two 6-1 winners have been among Dave Nevison's successful tips this week and our man has four fancies for the action on Saturday.
It’s a tricky, trappy weekend of racing on the channel made even more difficult by rain sweeping across the UK and Ireland.
Maybe it is time to try an ambitious multiple to pay for your holiday and not do too much damage before the fabulous York meeting coming up very soon.
The handicapper may have been generous with this five-year-old who, when campaigned on the turf in Britain in 2017, was running off marks in the 90s and generally performing well for Richard Hannon.
He went over to Doug Watson and had just two modest runs in Dubai, but obviously didn’t thrive there.
Since his return, he has had two runs for Ian Williams over seven furlongs, which has been too short for a while now, and now finds himself on a rating of 83 for his first run back over a mile.
All my deductions are circumstantial, but Mustarrid looks a decent price at 14-1 and it looks like a competitive race with a big field, so it may give him something to run at.
PJ Mcdonald has a strike-rate of better than 20% for the yard and is clearly in form having last week claimed the Racing TV leading jockey award at Goodwood.
There are few in this competitive handicap who have not been showing their form so it is possibly difficult to see massive improvement coming from them.
However, David O’Meara’s Young Fire is having his first run for the stable since coming from France.
Following this type of horse has been profitable for punters in recent years so I will definitely be having an each-way saver on him.
It is also worth noting that with older horses running for the first and second time for Ian Williams, punters make a huge loss, but overall in handicaps, he is a trainer to be relied upon. It seems Williams likes to see what he has first.
This one has lucked out in the Shergar Cup Sprint. Not many horses get to be ridden by a jockey who knows them well, but this one has got Jamie Spencer who rode him into second in a big handicap at York last time.
It looked there that a stiffer 6f would suit him better - which he gets here - and given that he has shown form on good and soft, any change in the round will do his chance no harm.
This looks a shrewd bit of placing by William Haggas in a race where there is nothing with Victory Day’s potential and he could be the afternoon’s handicap good thing.
I have left this one in my Racing TV tracker despite the fact he came next to last on a recent run.
That may well have been over a trip too far but, even so, he actually ran quite well against some very progressive types.
Previous to that he ran a cracker in the big lady rider’s race at York which convinced me he would be winning soon.
I am sure this horse will take off at some point, probably on the back of a market move as he has been well backed in the past and I am happy to give him a few more chances.
This three-year-old returns to the scene of his best ever run - which came over this distance - and he has been found a weak race, so I think he can score.
Last time he went over two furlongs further and maybe did not see it out so well. The older horses in this race really do not look up to much in the way of improvement and, from stall one, he should be able to sit on the shoulder of habitual front-running three-year-old Gennaro, but hopefully stay on better.
The presence of a lightly-raced, Sir Mark Prescott horse down the bottom of the weights is a concern, but Volcanique has not been backed and has shown little this season off lowly marks, so will have to really show something here.
The market will no doubt let us know but I am happy to be with the Johnston runner.
Select any odd to add a bet