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Dave Nevison's Saturday tips: I want Candy in Becher Chase

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 3 Dec 2021

It's another cracking Saturday of action on Racing TV and Dave Nevison has four selections for the quality jumping action at Aintree and Sandown.

12.55 Aintree: Midnightreferendum

Now a couple of pounds lower in the weights than when third in the only handicap chase she has raced in so far, given her solid form it is difficult to see why she has received such generosity. She ran very well on her reappearance last month in a Listed mares' race at Market Rasen behind the very useful Chilli Filly and looks set for a good season.

Midnightreferendum makes a promising return to action

The key to her chance here might well be the drop down in trip as it looks to me as though she has been overstretched when running over three miles. Alan King’s horses have generally been running very well in recent weeks, but like Midnightreferendum have been hitting the frame more often than winning. Hopefully that can change here.

2.40 Aintree: Kimberlite Candy

One of those horses who seems to have been on the Aintree scene for ages, but he is still only nine and has a good chance here to go one better than his second place in the last two runnings of this race. I certainly expect him to at least get into the frame again.

I had more or less thrown away my ticket before the start of last year's race watching him drift from morning favourite to 14/1 at the off but he obviously never knew he wasn’t fancied and ran a cracker. It all went wrong for him in the National itself and was pulled up after a very rough passage but that is the way the cards fall sometimes at Aintree and hopefully this will go smoother. This trip I believe is better for him in any case.

Trainer Tom Lacey was going to have a 10-length winner at Market Rasen with a seasonal debutant on Thursday and Sebastopol also tipped up when clear in a novice chase at Kempton, certain to win. The yard would be on the hot list without those two spills so I am certain of a good run with a horse who is proven to go well fresh.

3.00 Sandown: Strictlyadancer

I have backed this horse for both of his last two wins and tipped it here when gambled on to win first time at Cheltenham and this looks to be a perfect target, even though he has obviously gone up the weights a bit.

Strictlyadancer strikes at Haydock on his latest start

Several of his rivals look to be at the very top of their handicap range and Christian Williams’ sound jumping young stayer certainly looks as though he has more to offer. He has won a chase right handed at Exeter so going this way round won’t be an issue. It is difficult to not see him at least running another very good race.

3.15 Aintree: Tamar Bridge

He looks the improver in this race and is against a largely-exposed though clearly useful field. He beat his own stable companion easily at Wetherby on his reappearance and that one has gone in again since, so an opening mark of 128 looks very fair. Olly Murphy has continued in very good form of late and it is difficult to see Tamar Bridge not being well supported here. This is clearly his trip and he goes well for rider Adrian Heskin.

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