Dave Nevison's Saturday selections: Rum Runner can leave you in good spirits

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Sat 3 Oct 2020

Twelve months ago this turned into one of my best punting weekends of recent times - and a profitable one for readers of this page - when both favourites won the valuable sales races at Newmarket and Redcar and Waldgeist timed his run better than Frankie and Enable in the Arc.

Hopefully this weekend will be equally profitable but it won’t be achieved in the same way. The sales races look to have more depth than last year and I am not tipping in either and with the opposition falling away in the Arc I am convinced the way is clear for Enable to land her third win in the race - even the each-way value against her has gone.

The female-focused Newmarket card looks really tough with probably the most competitive renewal of the Sun Chariot I can remember for many years, but for my bets I am sticking with Redcar which has a really attractive card, supporting the a Good Group Three and the big two-year-old race, the William Hill Two Year Old Trophy.

1.45 Redcar: Mac Ailey

Won on heavy ground this time last year so will have no issues with the likely conditions here and came up against and in-form filly in My Ukulele last time. He has been a narrowly beaten favourite on his latest two starts but on both occasions might just have got to the front too early having been run down close home.

He has been ridden by claimers or amateurs in recent appearances, but David Allan takes over this time and may hopefully time things perfectly. Tim Easterby is having a great season and his team remains in excellent form.

2.15 Redcar: Rum Runner

I put up this horse one to note when I was covering a meeting at Redcar on Racing TV and am pleased his trainer has put him in a handicap over the same course and distance, but dropped him two grades down to a 0-70 where I hope he will make his class advantage count.

Rum Runner went into Dave's notebook after this latest run

Since that Redcar run, the yard - which had been very quiet - has had two winners at decent prices. Under Geoff Harker's care, he has run at a variety of trips from six furlongs up to a mile and a quarter, but it definitely looked as if this test suited him last time as he was staying on noticeably after not having the clearest of runs. This is the lowest-grade handicap he has ever tackled and I like his prospects.

4.00 Redcar: Cornerstone Lad

A winner in October last year after a five-month break, he has run well several times after a spell away from the track so I have no worries about his fitness for this, despite the fact that no doubt his main target will be a repeat win in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle.

He looks so well-handicapped on the Flat given the improvement he made last winter, this looks an obvious route to Newcastle as he is easier to place on the Flat given his rating. Billy Garritty is a very useful conditional with a 3-3 record on this horse, so his booking is a big positive also.

4.35 Redcar: Breguet Boy

Keith Dalgleish’s runners all ran well over the weekend of the Ayr Gold Cup and this horse put up his best performance of the season when scoring at the Hamilton meeting which followed.

Can Breguet Boy confirm this form with Cruising here?

He is an each-way price here, but looks to have improved switching back to turf on softer ground on his latest two runs, and has winning form over course and distance. Seemingly drawn on the right side when glancing at the likely pace scenario, he can hopefully stay on late to get us a place - at least. His jockey is having a very good season.

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