Dave Nevison's Saturday selections: Sword ready to strike at Goodwood

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 28 Aug 2020

August Bank Holiday weekend and its soft ground at most tracks, but hopefully not too much more rain will fall and change conditions dramatically.

As ever on a holiday weekend, there are several tricky handicaps to challenge us and I will be doing an each-way multiple on the selections below. Best of luck!

4.05 Redcar: Twentysixthstreet at 20-1 with Betfair

Although trained in Ireland, Twentysixthstreet spent most of his time running in Scotland last season and won a couple of sprints on soft ground.

He has now moved over here to Adrian Nicholls’ yard who has run him twice so far, and both times he looked as though a drop in the handicap might be the focus.

He was only beaten just over three lengths last time but that was over five furlongs which is too short for him and he was in a race packed with in-form sprinters.

It was a better run than it looked, and I put him in my Racing TV tracker afterwards. Even if Saturday isn’t the day, I reckon following him this autumn should pay off.

4.10 Goodwood: Western Duke at a general 12-1

Ian Williams’ four-year-old last won off a 3lb higher mark on good to soft ground and even though conditions might be just a bit softer on Saturday, he is certainly weighted to be competitive.

It looked as though his turn may be around the corner when finishing sixth at Haydock last time out. The leaders got away from them in that race and although he made a promising run in the straight, he had too much to do and was eased off.

The visor is retained and if he tucks in closer to the pace, he should be able to strike in the straight plus Adam Kirby also keeps the ride to make amends, which is a positive.

4.45 Goodwood: Sword Beach at a general 17-2

This horse ran well in a nursery here last season and acted well on soft ground at Salisbury on his debut, so he should be ok in this trappy handicap.

He hasn’t been disgraced on each start this season, but nothing has really gone right for him in any of his runs and he might have been a shade rusty last time out.

He has dipped a bit in the weights and Eve Johnson Houghton has removed the headgear here. He should be a decent price and runs on soft ground for the first time since winning at York, so he is worth chancing.

5.15 Goodwood: Yukon Mission at 11-4 with Bet365

Yukon Mission was rightly pulled out earlier in the week when the ground went bottomless but the reasons for tipping her that day remain pertinent.

She looks set to improve on turf after having her first run on that surface at Pontefract recently. She was repeatedly stopped in her run on that occasion and though beaten over two lengths, she could well have been an unlucky loser and has exposed types to beat here.

If the heavens open, it seems her trainer will pull her out, so we should be covered.

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