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Dave Nevison's Saturday selections: Rum Runner can leave you in good spirits

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 2 Oct 2020

Twelve months ago this weekend I enjoyed one of my best punting weekends in recent times.

I found the winner of the valuable sales’ races at Newmarket and Redcar before Waldgeist timed his run better than Frankie Dettori on Enable in the Arc.

Hopefully, this weekend will be equally profitable but I’m adopting a different approach. The Sales’ races look to have more depth than last year and I am not tipping in either.

And with the opposition falling away in the Arc, I am convinced the way is clear for Enable to land her third win in the race and that any each-way value against her has gone.

The female-biased Newmarket card looks really tough with probably the most competitive renewal of the Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes I can remember.

For my bets, I am sticking with Redcar, which has a really attractive card supporting the Group Three race and the William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy.

1.45 Redcar: Mac Ailey

Won on heavy ground this time last year, so will have no issues with the likely conditions, and came up against an in-form filly in My Ukulele last time.

He has been a narrowly beaten favourite on his past two starts but on both occasions might have got to the front too early and been run down close home.

He has been ridden by claimers or amateurs for his past four starts but David Allan takes over this time and hopefully can time things perfectly. Tim Easterby is having a great season and remains in excellent form.

2.15 Redcar: Rum Runner

I put up him up as my “horse to note” from when I covered the last meeting at Redcar and am pleased his trainer has put him in a handicap over the same course and distance, especially dropped two grades to a 0-70 where he has a class advantage.

Since that Redcar run the yard, which had been very quiet, has had two winners at decent prices and certainly looks a yard to be with at present.

Since this horse moved north to Geoffrey Harker he has run at a variety of trips from 6f to 10f but it definitely looked as though the extended distance suited him last time as he was staying on noticeably after not having the clearest of runs.

He has never run in such a low-grade handicap and looks a strong option here.

4.00 Redcar: Cornerstone Lad

Won in October last year after a five-month break and has run well several times after a spell off so I have no worries about his fitness for this.

I have no doubt his main target will be a repeat win in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle but he looks so well-handicapped on the Flat, given the improvement he made last winter, that this looks an obvious route as he is probably actually easier to place on the Flat rather than over jumps.

Billy Garrity is a useful claimer and has won on him over the jumps and on the Flat, so his booking is also a big positive.

4.35 Redcar: Breguet Boy

Keith Dalgleish’s runners all ran well over the weekend of the Ayr Gold Cup meeting and this horse, an each-way fancy, put up his best performance of the season when scoring at the Hamilton meeting which followed.

He looks to have improved switching back to turf on softer ground on his past two runs and, to my eye, looks well-drawn when considering where the pace scenario. Hopefully, he will stay on late into the frame or better. His jockey is having a very good season and Brequet Boy is a previous course and distance scorer.

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