This is another one of those Saturdays which features several big-field handicaps and to my mind offers the chance of sticking on a life-changing multiple.
The temperature has dropped in recent days and so hopefully the quartet below will secure my lounger in a tropical paradise this winter!
All my fancies are each-way selections, so keep an eye out for those bookmakers who are offering extra places.
There are several choicely-bred, expensively-bought young stayers in this extremely competitive handicap but I believe there could be value in backing Alan King’s lightly-raced, late-developing type.
After a promising run on soft ground as a two-year-old we did not see Trueshan on the racecourse again until August.
Most punters had obviously forgotten about him as he went off at 33-1 for a modest maiden but he stayed on well to win after showing clear signs of greenness.
Big-priced maiden winners tend to raise suspicion but he confirmed he was the real deal when following up in smart style and in a good time at Ffos Las last time out.
Trueshan has indicated that he will improve for a step up in trip in each of his races and he has already run well on an easy surface, so double-figure odds appeal.
Reshoun is only 3lb higher than when landing this prize last year, when he was bouncing back to form after some modest efforts.
He then went on to go close in the November Handicap and is 1lb lower here. His form since has been mixed but he has been highly tried on occasions and, perhaps significantly, has had a breathing operation.
With the exception of the top two in the weights, who are consistent but now exposed, this race is full of capable horses with varying degrees of quirks and inconsistencies.
It is far from inconceivable that Ian Williams has targeted a repeat victory and conditions have certainly come right for Reshoun. Jim Crowley is the only jockey to win on him in England and is back on board.
My Racing TV colleague David Cleary was eagle-eyed as ever when he spotted that Kindly was the one to take out of her race earlier this week.
He observed it was an interesting run “for those who didn’t back her” although that was of little consolation for those of us who did support her.
Often a front runner, she was held up and I felt sure the game was up after a furlong but never completely lost hope as she was clearly travelling so well that it was possible she might pick up.
Kindly finished with running left in her and that race cannot have bottomed her. I am confident she can do better five days on and that my arguments for her winning earlier this week still apply.
She is a well-handicapped filly and a drop down in trip is no issue.
Where’s Jeff is a favourite of mine and I will definitely be saving on him but Billy No Mates makes more appeal as he runs over his ideal trip for the first time since an eye-catching run at York in mid-June.
Billy No Mates came good at this meeting last year so the track holds no issues and any easing in the ground will not harm him.
The handicapper has lowered him 3lb since his last run, which may be generous as he was stretched by the trip and received a bump during the race. I am hopeful he can return to winning form here, presumably before heading on to Ayr.
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