Dave Nevison's Saturday bets: Sheikh Hamdan patience could pay off at Newbury

By Dave Nevison
Fri 17 Aug 2018

Dave Nevison struck with 9-2 chance Cleonte last week and has three bets at 16-1, 12-1 and 5-1 for Saturday's action.

2.45 Newmarket - Jawwaal at a generally available 5-1:

There has not been an explanation offered that I could find for a disappointing effort last time by this John Gosden three-year-old but he certainly ran much better than his ninth of 20 would suggest at York on his previous run and might have nearly won with a better run.

He looked most progressive before then and it would be unusual for the trainer not to get him back on track.

This is much less competitive and he can resume winning ways.

3.00 Newbury- Mizaah at 12-1:

On a Saturday that feels a little bit like the lull before the storm that is York's Ebor meeting next week, it is perhaps not surprising that the big field handicap at Newbury on Saturday is contested by few really in-form horses.

I am with Mizaah largely because he did not go to the sales last season, as many Sheikh Hamdan al Maktoum horses do.

Instead he was moved from Kevin Prendergast to Owen Burrows, presumably to give him a chance to recapture early 2017 form that would make him a seriously well handicapped horse.

He definitely never lived up to early promise in Ireland and his absence until now suggests a serious issue might have been found, and given that Burrows runners are in pretty good form this season I believe there are reasons to expect a good run on his belated seasonal debut.

Market support would obviously boost confidence.

3.20 Newmarket - Chez Vegas at a generally available 16-1:

The grey horse handicap is an annual novelty that gets on my nerves when I watch it but if I can get on at big prices I will definitely be more sympathetic I’m sure!

Scott Dixon had had a good season largely with seasoned sprinters and this one is probably a rarity for the trainer in that he is a very lightly-raced five-year-old.

He missed 2017 but three weeks ago on his return he definitely looked as if he might be worth following. He raced in the van until getting tired two furlongs out but by no means dropped out altogether.

I thought it was a good run after such a break. He has an Ayr Gold Cup entry though will obviously only get in one of the consolation races but it suggests he is considered to have a future and he looks worth a small punt at a big price.

Dave Nevison's Saturday best bets:

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