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Dave Nevison's top tips for Friday: Apple looks a rock-solid bet

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 20 Nov 2020

Dave Nevison has been in top form this week and reveals his best bets for Ascot and Catterick on Friday as he bids to boost punting funds ahead of the weekend.

2.40 Ascot: Buzz at a general 5-4

Buzz will be a strong favourite for this handicap but looks worth siding with in a race where few seem to be in form, and several are on the comeback trail or running over too short a trip.

The race has no shortage of front runners, so a good pace is assured which will suit the Nicky Henderson-trained six-year-old.

Buzz reappeared at Ffos Llas in October and ran well against the returning Sceau Royal, who is top class over hurdles, and would have been even closer than the three lengths he was beaten but for a mistake at the last.

A raise of just 1lb following that effort looks lenient.

2.58 Catterick: Red Giant at a general 9-4

This horse had dropped to a lenient mark before winning last time and, with hindsight, should not have been a 16-1 chance.

He won’t be those odds here, that’s for sure, but is in a relatively uncompetitive race and even though he is 7lb higher than last time, he is still 4lb below his previous winning mark, so could still be well handicapped.

He has also run well over course and distance in the past off a much higher mark.

3.45 Ascot: Apple Rock at 4-1 with Bet365

Disappointed at odds-on last time but his win at Carlisle on his previous start suggested this sort of test would be ideal for him and, given the form of his stable, I am prepared to give him another chance under promising 7lb-claimer Luca Morgan.

He beat an improving type at Carlisle - who scored next time out - and obviously relished the stiff track, and may not have appreciated the step down in trip at Wetherby plus a less-testing surface might not have suited.

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