Dave Nevison's free horse racing tips for Tuesday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Tue 29 Nov 2022

Our betting expert's three fancies include one who has attracted market support on several occasions without delivering.

12.25 Southwell: Ile De Jersey

Has suffered the ignominy of going up in the weights for achieving nothing last time but could still be underestimated by the handicapper and is a strong fancy to make amends here in a decent mares’ handicap.

Nicky Henderson’s four-year-old mare is a winner in France and England over hurdles, and would have scored over fences last time at Taunton but for falling at the final fence. She reappears quickly but, from a top team, I am happy to believe she is over that unfortunate experience. She can make amends here.

12.35 Ayr: Gentleman De Mai

Top class staying chaser Bristol De Mai features in the pedigree of this lightly raced expensive purchase, but he has a long way to go before he lives up to his illustrious relative.

However, he has shown plenty of promise in just two runs 11 months apart and may be ready to win this surprisingly competitive handicap for the grade. He made a winning debut, staying on well to win over 2m at Kelso last November in a race that has worked out well and looked potentially useful over further.

He made a perfectly satisfactory return over 2½ miles last month in a similar handicap to Tuesday’s event. After being keen and fresh early on, he was restrained and stayed on late looking very much as though he would be better for the run. He has been dropped 1lb and with his stable in good form, and a decent pace expected, he looks likely to go well.

2.40 Ayr: Gandhi Maker

This well-bred chasing type has been gambled on for four of his six career starts. I joined in and got burnt the last time, but am more than happy to go in again on what could be a seriously well-handicapped horse at a track that he is proven over.

His Market Rasen run last time was a complete mystery until connections announced he was found to be lame after the race, so the run must be written off.

It was his run at Ayr in October that convinced punters to pile in last time as he should have won but his jockey rode him too aggressively - a move that might have also contributed to Gandhi Maker making a massive blunder three out.

He still looked like winning but got tired and was headed close home. That race is working out quite well and he looks worth the 6lb rise.

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