QIPCO British Champions Day is going to make for fantastic viewing but defining champions in heavy ground is out of kilter with my perception of Flat racing.
However I am battling to be champion by 5pm in the punting stakes, so have tried to look for a few bets on horses who usually go well under the prevailing conditions.
I will be looking forward to bookmaker offers in this big-field Group One sprint and believe that these two warrant each-way support.
The real top-grade sprinters have packed up for the season and Cape Byron has run just about all his best races at the track: winning the Wokingham in the summer and last time out landing a Group Three on soft ground. Conditions are no issue and his stable is in good form.
Make a Challenge was winning 0-80 races a matter of week ago but having watched him destroy a big field of Irish sprinters over 6f on heavy ground last time I became convinced that he would be a contender here if supplemented.
Few horses are so obviously suited by heavy ground and given he is on such a steep upward curve he cannot be ruled out.
There is no Enable here and so the way is clear for Magical to win a third Group One this season.
There is obviously a chance that her season will take its toll but there wasn’t really a sign of that in the Arc and on the inner track conditions may not be quite as draining.
She clearly has the form and deserves to win this. Addeybb is at his best on soft ground but I am not convinced he can beat a confirmed Group One performer and certainly I don’t want to take 7-2 to find out if he is.
Jamie Spencer is regarded rightly as one of the masters of the straight mile at Ascot and nearly got this mare to win the Royal Hunt Cup this summer.
He is 5-33 in big-field mile handicaps over the past ten years, which is a strong stat in races this competitive.
Clon Coulis has not repeated that performance in subsequent runs but back under similar conditions, on the same mark, she can strike.
Dave's fab four for Champions Day:
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