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Dave Nevison: My top tips for Exeter on Tuesday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Mon 17 Jan 2022

Our pundit hopes for a winning to his punting week with three fancies at Exeter on Tuesday. Enjoy every moment live on Racing TV.

2.40 Exeter: Seventeen O Four

This has the look of a ‘good thing’ to me.

The well-related Seventeen O Four was quite an expensive purchase but disappointed for Michael Bell before really finding his feet on the Flat for Grant Tuer, who upped him in trip and won two middle distance handicaps with him.

Seventeen O Four changed hands again to David Pipe over the summer and it looks as though his progress has been maintained, winning nicely second-time out over jumps for his new yard and significantly staying on very well at Chepstow.

There is a real dearth of in-form horses in this race and it is difficult to see the stiff Exeter track suiting the sprint-bred Tremwedge, whereas the extra two furlongs look certain to bring out more improvement in Seventeen O Four.

He is experienced enough to be ready for this switch to handicaps and from a mark that suggests this is an easier route than trying to defy a penalty in an open novice.

Fergus Gillard claimed 3lbs when he won and is back on board here.

3.10 Exeter: Sabbathical

Sabbathical has been most consistent recently and won over fences in good style at Fakenham in November.

He has finished third on his last two starts over hurdles but has now been dropped 2lbs and will enjoy this stiffer test.

This is another numerically strong but pretty uncompetitive hurdle, with the only other clear choice being recent Uttoxeter scorer Branson Mission. However, he improved out of the blue last time and has since been raised 7lbs.

3.40 Exeter: Firenzo

This is a desperate contest and Firenzo looks the only one to be interested in for me.

Perhaps the most significant clue for me is that there was a level of expectation last time at Plumpton, when he went off at 12/1 in a decent-sized field having only ever gone off at massive prices on all of his previous starts since moving from France.

Firenzo had only had one start in the two years prior to that run and I believe he went perfectly satisfactorily before just fading in the home straight (halved in price in running). He has had a month to recover and I hope he is likely to improve now from a 3lb-lower mark.

Robert Walford has started 2022 in fantastic form and I feel a strong run is highly likely.

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