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Dave Nevison: My Ladbrokes Trophy tip and Newbury fancies

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 26 Nov 2021

Our pundit Dave Nevison gives you his tip for the £250,000 Ladbrokes Trophy and more besides on an excellent card at Newbury. Enjoy every moment live on Racing TV and Racing TV Extra.

We have a brilliant afternoon of racing at Newbury - as this day always is - and judging by the weather forecast I am not going to be in the worst position sat in a nice warm studio! Hopefully it will be made even cosier by these four running well.

1.15 Newbury: Kalooki

He has won or been placed on all three starts over fences at Newbury, so he has to be a contender here if fit for his return.

Kalooki won first-time up last season and has also won after a break previously, so that coupled with the form of his yard suggests he will be spot on for this.

He has to bridge a very narrow gap with Espoir De Teillee on their March running here, but these extra two furlongs should certainly suit him better than his rival.

If a tendency to lose concentration at his fences has been ironed out over the summer then this could be a good season for Kalooki. He has certainly always looked the part.

1.50 Newbury: Black Mischief

He runs well after a break generally and could be overpriced here.

Black Mischief has not been since a very easy success from two subsequent winners back in July and an 8lb rise looks lenient to me given he has been rated higher in the past.

I am hoping Black Mischief has been simply rested since to concentrate on the bigger opportunities at this stage of the season. He gets on well with this jockey who claims a very useful 3lb, the trip is ideal and it wouldn’t be a bother if the going deteriorated if the bad weather hits Newbury.

3.00 Newbury: Fiddlerontheroof

There was no doubt that the Tizzard yard was under a cloud last season and Fiddlerontheroof was quite an exception in that - for the most part - he ran consistently well all winter and chased home Monkfish at the Cheltenham Festival.

He only won one chase however, and it is not difficult to take the view that he was running below his potential – but now Fiddlerontheroof may be set for improvement this term and he certainly came out strong on his reappearance. He beat several last-time out winners by outstaying them up the Carlisle hill and he should progress from that.

Fiddlerontheroof already has eight runs over fences and that will stand him in good stead for a race such as this. Tizzard is still among the winners this week and he certainly knows what is required for the Ladbrokes Trophy, having won two of the last five renewals.

3.35 Newbury: Sully D’Oc AA

I wouldn’t want to rush to write this one’s name on my betting slip but hopefully he is worth going with in a cracking two-mile chase.

He went up the weights after his Punchestown victory last April but did well after meeting interference that day and three winners have already come out of the race this season.

Sully D’Oc AA wasn’t beaten by his handicap mark last time at Ascot, more by being held up too far out of his ground and given too much to do by his jockey. He will get this race run to suit with several front-runners likely to press on the long Newbury straight should suit him perfectly.

Hopefully he will prove to be a class act off top-weight here.

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