Dave Nevison: my free horse racing tips for Thursday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Thu 6 Oct 2022

The Racing TV cameras will capture the action at Ayr, Warwick, Thurles and Chelmsford City on Thursday. Betting expert Dave Nevison likes the prospects of a trio running in Scotland.

1.15 Ayr: Flying Moon

Flying Moon was on a roll in the spring and rattled up a hat-trick of course and distance wins, including twice under Thursday’s jockey.

He then went off the boil but as a consequence, he is now down to his latest winning mark and there were signs he might be on the way back on his penultimate start at Carlisle, where he was beaten less than three lengths in a competitive field.

He didn’t stay 2m last time but got dropped 1lb for trying. His yard’s runners have performed pretty well recently and he is worth an each way punt.

3.00 Ayr: Tipperary Tiger

Has not had the rub of the green this season in sprint handicaps and is one of very few horses in the Karl Burke yard that have had a modest season, despite winning twice.

Tipperary Tiger requires a strong pace to aim at and it seems very likely he will certainly get that here, plus he is ideally drawn and surrounded by forward-going types.

He is back down to his latest winning mark and Pierre-Louis Jamin is back on board.

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5.15 Ayr: City Vaults

City Vaults can get back on the winning trail even though he was beaten off a lower mark last time out.

I am taking a positive view of his defeat to an improving stayer over 2m last time as he made up ground from last far too rapidly, and then had no answer when the leader kicked again.

He is back down in trip, back on turf and is reunited with Danny Tudhope, who was on board for his impressive Redcar win. The combination have plenty going for them.

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