Chris Dixon's top tips for Monday: Legend can make mark at Kempton

By Chris Dixon@cdixon82
Mon 20 Jan 2020

A brace of all-weather meetings from Kempton and Wolverhampton alongside jumps racing from Ayr and Plumpton, which will both be taking place on testing conditions, means there is plenty of racing to go at on Monday and I’m hoping for a good day with four fancies to back.

1.20 Kempton: Itmakesyouthink each-way at 10-1 with bet365

Bold Decision was strong in the market ahead of his debut for an in-form yard last week and shaped well as he made good ground from the back of the field following a tardy start.

He should go well, especially as the extra furlong should suit, but at a bigger price I quite like the look of Itmakesyouthink.

He was disappointing last time but had the excuse of a poor draw and his previous two starts had been encouraging.

At Wolverhampton on his penultimate run he made good ground late having sat a long way from off the pace, while his previous run over a mile here was a narrow defeat behind a course specialist who won again next time.

The way he travelled there suggests he’ll be fine back down in trip, while Richard Kingscote rarely gets one too far back. Hopefully, he will get into a prominent early pitch in a race that looks likely to be quite steadily run.

1.50 Kempton: Winnettka at 100-30 with William Hill

Tony Carroll’s horses are in top form and I like the claims of his Winnetka here as he shaped like a well-handicapped horse (watch above) on his first run for the yard last time.

Having travelled kindly in mid-pack, Winnettka quickened up nicely at the cutaway to move to the lead before flattening out into third late on but pulling clear of the rest behind an in-form winner and handicap debutant in second.

The way he shaped there was of a horse who was ahead of his mark but in need of the run following 173 days off, and given his trainer has a strike rate of less than 3 per cent with horses that have been off the track for more than 150 days or more further substance can be added to that view.

Dropped a furlong in trip and with a run behind him he can hopefully last longer and go a couple of places better.

4.10 Plumpton: Ede’iffs Elton at 3-1 with bet365

Ede’iffs Elton looked like a horse who would benefit from a step up in trip when staying on strongly for second behind a well-backed winner here last time and, though I’d be keener on him if he were going over further, he showed enough to make me think he can win a weak race like while kept to this distance.

Unexposed and having just his second go in a handicap here, he looks better than a mark of 97 and most of the runners from his stable have been showing there form of late.

4.20 Kempton: Double Legend at 7-2 with William Hill and Sky Bet

Most of this field are fully exposed at this basement level but that’s not the case with Double Legend, who can take advantage of an ease in grade.

In good form at this track at around this time last year, he’s back down to the same mark as when winning over course and distance under today’s rider in February (watch above).

A close third in a much better race than this on his following start, he subsequently lost his form after a short break but looked back in good nick on his return from another break last time.

That form has subsequently been boosted by the next time out win of the fourth and close third of the runner-up, and Double Legend could prove a class apart in this lower grade following a 2lb drop in the handicap.

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