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Chris Dixon: Coroebus makes appeal at 12-1 for 2000 Guineas

By Chris Dixon@cdixon82
Wed 29 Sep 2021

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Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire Meeting provided the pick of the action on the racecourse last week and, although it was slightly frustrating viewing with runners spread all over the track on the opening day, it was still a meeting to take plenty from.

Much of what can be gleaned from the three days will be of more use into next season, rather than this season and, with that in mind, I am focussing on horses who it could pay to keep on side into next year for this week’s column.

Before I move onto horses to add into your racingtv.com tracker, I am going to start by putting up an ante-post best that I feel offers some real value.

The winning performances of Tenebrism (Cheveley Park), Perfect Power (Middle Park), Royal Patronage (Royal Lodge) and Luxembourg (Beresford) all pointed towards those horses being likely types for top level honours next term, but the horse I’d be most interested in backing for something ante-post is Coroebus who could hardly have shaped much better in defeat when second in the Royal Lodge.

Having carried William Buick to the front with not much less than four furlongs to run, Coroebus had an air of brilliance about him as he burst clear of the field with ease over 2f out, at which point I suggested we were about to have a new 2000 Guineas favourite.

Much changed in the next 20 seconds as Coroebus tied up late on, and was collared by early leader Royal Patronage, but the impression he made was striking. That, coupled with a high-class pedigree that suggests he will be fully effective over eight and ten furlongs next season, makes me think the general 12-1 for the 2022 QIPCO 2000 Guineas is too big.

Judged on comments his trainer Charlie Appleby has subsequently made on Nick Luck’s Daily Podcast, it is a view that could well be shared by the man who will know him, and current Guineas favourite Native Trail, better than most, so I reckon it is worth investing at those double-figure odds now.

Onto those horses for the tracker and there’s a focus on the three days at Newmarket in the main, though first up is a Goodwood winner with a bit more to offer.

Sea Sylph – William Haggas

Bar one blip at Sandown in July, Sea Sylph’s season has been one of steady progress and I think she was more superior than the half-length margin suggests when winning a fillies’ handicap at Goodwood last week.

Settled in midfield from an early stage, she conceded a good three to four lengths to the early leaders in a race that was run at a fairly steady tempo, and she did well to run them down in the circumstances.

She clearly possesses a bit of tactical pace over this sort of trip and is likely to rate higher than her revised mark of 85.

Magisterial – John & Thady Gosden

Newmarket novice and maiden races at this time of year can regularly prove to be informative contests, and I suspect the one won by Roger Varian’s newcomer Subastar was the strongest of them last week.

I am sure it is a race that will throw up a good number of winners, and I’d be very surprised if Magisterial isn’t one of them.

Covered up behind the leaders, he was a bit disorganised and green as the race developed into the dip but closed up very well under a considerate ride once he hit the rising ground and could progress a lot through his next few starts.

Noisy Night – Roger Charlton

Noisy Night has already had a fruitful campaign and though his winning sequence came to an end at Newmarket on Thursday, I reckon he will pick up the winning thread again within his next few runs.

Impressing with how he travelled, he badly failed to handle the dip and lost his race at that stage, but was looked after from thereon in and can resume his progress when returned to a flatter track, perhaps on the all-weather (he’s three from three at Kempton).

Girl On Film – Ralph Beckett

Ralph Beckett’s 2yo’s will improve more than most from first to second run so it was already encouraging that she made a winning debut on the July Course last month, while the fact her trainer stepped her straight up from that restricted maiden success to Group Two company in the Rockfel also speaks volumes.

Ultimately well held in fifth and beaten over five lengths, she found this test a bit too much, too soon, but did keep on late and acquitted herself pretty well in the face of a stiff task.

Described by my brother, Martin, as a “good looking filly with loads of size” in the paddock on Racing TV prior to the race, she could be the type to make significant progress from two to three and could be worth following in the early part of next season.

Hot form

The obvious place to go for a piece of form to follow is the already mentioned novice in which Magisterial was fourth, but one that might provide some better value bets in the short term is the low-level handicap won by Pinball Wizard at Kempton last Wednesday.

The winner is an improver on this surface who scored with plenty of authority, so could go on again despite a significant 8lb rise in the weights since.

Those behind have either been left alone, or dropped by the assessor, and include a couple of unexposed or potentially well-handicapped sorts on old form.

One or two of them could be found winning opportunities in the short term, with horses that have as much in hand as the winner here fairly thin on the ground at this level over the next couple of months.

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