Andy Stephens (The Score) struck with his 11-8 nap Dakota Gold on Sunday. A £10 bet on all his naps since June 15, at SP, would have made a profit of more than £500. In his Sprint Cup runner-by-runner guide, published at the start of last week, he also suggested Hello Youmzain represented each-way value at 12-1.
A week that will end with the glitter of Irish Champions Weekend and the final British Classic of the year begins in relatively low-key fashion on Monday.
However, there is a €50,000 Listed contest on the second day of Listowel’s Harvest Festival meeting and that nine-furlong contest forms part of my punting strategy.
I’ve got four selections, starting with:
He’s unfortunate not to be arriving here seeking a fourth successive win and I’m surprised that in the betting the bookmaker make him third favourite, with only Lady London – unreliable and expected to need the run after his absence – a bigger price in the betting.
Chanceiton romped home at Hexham at the end of June and looked certain to follow-up here 11 days later only to hang left and be collared late in the scene.
Last time out he confirmed himself in great fettle when touched off at Bangor, over hurdles, and his record under his conditional rider is 1122.
I’m not sure Stream Lady, the favourite, has achieved a much, while Ballyscrystal Court looked a tricky ride when scoring at Southwell last time.
The obvious one here is Sandy Steve, who scored in decisive style at Chelmsford last time and promises to be well served by stepping up to a mile and a half.
At much bigger odds, though, it may be worth chancing Atalanta Breeze.
She showed little in three starts over 7f in the space of three weeks last autumn and makes a belated return after ten months off but she now switches to handicap ranks over a considerably longer trip which, on breeding, should suit her much better.
Marcus Tregoning has his team in good form and there is a touch of Sir Mark Prescott the way he has campaigned her up to now. She is also entered at Chepstow later this week.
Things have not quite gone to plan for Riven Light since he won a handicap at the Galway Festival in great style off a mark of 108.
Willie Mullins’ gelding has since failed to get his head in front but I’d put a line through his latest defeat over hurdles as he seems more effective on the Flat and before that he was given too much to do in when sixth in what was a hot renewal of the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot.
This represents an easier assignment and the combination of this nine-furlong trip and soft ground will suit.
Lancaster House and Up Helly AA, improving three-year-olds, command respect but Riven Light has achieved much more and he can get back to winning ways.
This mare will be having her twelfth successive start at Brighton and has looked an improved performer since being upped to a mile – twice winning over course and distance since July.
She had the assistance of Cieren Fallon last time but Will Carver, who rides on Monday, was on board for her other win and has gone close on her on two other occasions.
Harlequin Rose has to cope with a 5lb penalty but her main market rivals look vulnerable. Sharp Operator and Duke Of North are both on 15-run losing streaks, while Kodiline has not won on turf for more than three years.
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