Goodwood Festival News

Dave Nevison's top tips for Glorious Goodwood on Friday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 30 Jul 2021

Betting expert Dave Nevison has been in red-hot form - tipping ten winners from his past 18 selections heading into Thursday. He has three fancies for the action on Friday. Watch how they fare on Racing TV.

1.50 Goodwood: Smart Champion at 12-1 with bet365

It is unusual these days to see a big handicap with a 2st weights range from topweight to bottom. These days most seem to become high class classified races featuring horses all close to the top of the weight range.

The weight carried does count over this extreme distance of 2m5f and Smart Champion has to be considered off bottom weight in a race he has run well in before. He was third to Old Hubert last year and is 5lb better off with that horse for being beaten less than a length, which should be enough to turn things around.

Indeed, Smart Champion is better off at the weights with several he has met in the recent past. The issue with this horse is that he is slow - or rather cannot go any quicker when asked to - but that is negated by the trip on Friday. The extreme distance means this is one of the few races he can possibly win all season.

Saffie Osborne takes an extra 5lb off but her real task is to keep Smart Champion in the clear when making his run. He simply does not have the gears to get going again if he is stopped and loses momentum. His best efforts have been when challenging wide so I am sure Osborne will try this route.

Smart Champion is certainly well enough weighted, has run some of his best races at this track and was very well backed last time out over an inadequate trip so is clearly felt to be in decent form. I will be very disappointed if he is not placed at least and more than pleasantly surprised if he proves fast enough to win.

Smart Champion finished third on his ast visit to Goodwood in June

3.00 Goodwood: Path Of Thunder at 11-2 with Betfair and Paddy Power

If he can make the most of a draw in stall 3 he will go close here. I think it is very likely he will be able to hold his position just off the gallop as there is plenty of pace drawn near him on the inside and most of the horses drawn wide of him seem to be hold-up types so it may just be that this race is a little more trouble-free than some of the big-field handicaps at Goodwood.

He certainly seemed to benefit from the change to blinkers last time and hopefully they will work again.

It is certainly the case that 3lb extra would not have stopped him so I am not at all concerned about the penalty. He has run well on soft ground in the past.

4.10 Goodwood: Passion And Glory at 9-2 with bet365 and William Hill

Is the horse going forward here and is preferred to Mogul, who has certainly not shown his Group One-winning form this season and may not like the ground.

Passion And Glory won a handicap off 90 at Lingfield and then, having gone up 10lb, was a six-length winner at Ascot. He warrants this step up in grade.

The trip is an unknown but he has shown no sign of stopping in his recent runs and is entered in the Ebor, so connections obviously think he will get this extra 2f.

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